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Penguins at Senators
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸3
Ottawa Senators
1
FinalTV ATTSN-PT, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Ottawa Senators 3-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patric Hornqvist's goal at 16:10 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were PIT 29, OTT 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Matt Murray stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Craig Anderson stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Guentzel (1 G), 2. Matt Murray (21 saves, .955), 3. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    M. Murray21 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Pageau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT0821219329
OTTOTT0100715122

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(7)
    O. Maatta (9), C. Sheary (3)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +22 pts
    1-0
    16:10
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(6)
    B. Dumoulin (1), B. Rust (10)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    2-0
    19:51

3rd period

  1. OTT
    J. Pageau(2)
    R. Dzingel (2), C. Wideman (5)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    10:29
  2. PIT
    R. Sheahan(1)EN
    S. Crosby (10), K. Letang (14)
    wristxG 0.85win prob +5 pts
    3-1
    19:29

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:49OTTMark Stone · Holdingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 12:27PITIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
  • 15:08OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 15:32PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Nate Thompson2 min

2nd

  • 9:04PITIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPIT goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Patric Hornqvist, 2nd 16:10 — PIT 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.16M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.14M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.13M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.11A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.09R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.08R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.08R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.05J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.05A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.05R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.04F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.03C. DiDomenico · On goal · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oduya · Missed · xG 0.02B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.01C. DiDomenico · On goal · xG 0.01F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.01F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Burrows · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT1 G · 1.7 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsOTT
2.12 G
All situations
1 G1.7
1.22 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 70 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT40%60%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.26 – 1.69

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsOTT
29
Shots on goal
22
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
13
13
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD011+130.17100—24:28
8B. DumoulinD011+100.00200—23:15
87S. CrosbyC011+220.081105719:11
15R. SheahanC101+110.850104518:42
3O. MaattaD011+120.05120—18:23
2C. RuhwedelD000+110.02200—18:18
28I. ColeD000020.11224—17:40
17B. RustR011+120.14110—16:55
4J. SchultzD000010.00110—16:48
59J. GuentzelC101+130.04110016:40
62C. HagelinL000030.13100—16:33
81P. KesselR000000.00010—16:33
71E. MalkinC000020.170124416:13
72P. HornqvistR101+140.2741010015:33
43C. ShearyL011020.08010—14:48
34T. KuhnhacklR000010.01100—10:00
33G. McKeggC000000.000003307:23
75R. ReavesR000000.00210—06:41
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Murray(W)22211.9551.69+0.6959:56

Season series

PIT leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).