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Avalanche at Sharks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
San Jose Sharks
▸4
FinalTV NBCSCA+, ALT·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Logan Couture's goal at 6:00 of the third period, which took the Sharks' chances from 59% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 3.2 to 2.1; shots on goal were COL 25, SJS 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.6 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 23 of 25 (.920). Three stars: 1. Justin Braun (1 G), 2. Logan Couture (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joonas Donskoi (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    J. Braun1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    L. Couture1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Donskoi1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL070929225
SJSSJS111013312436

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    J. Braun(5)
    L. Couture (27), M. Boedker (21)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:58

3rd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(29)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (57), T. Barrie (43)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    4:43
  2. SJS
    L. Couture(34)PPG
    K. Labanc (29), J. Pavelski (44)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    6:00
  3. SJS
    J. Donskoi(14)
    D. DeMelo (19), B. Dillon (17)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    10:14
  4. COL
    B. Comeau(13)
    D. Warsofsky (5), M. Nieto (11)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    2-3
    13:06
  5. SJS
    T. Hertl(22)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.76win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:58

Penalties

COL 4 PIM·SJS 2 PIM

2nd

  • 8:59COLBlake Comeau · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Sorensen2 min

3rd

  • 3:50SJSJoe Pavelski · High stickingdrawn by Tyson Barrie2 min
  • 5:28COLBlake Comeau · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Labanc2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalCOL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Logan Couture, 3rd 6:00 — SJS 59% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.76B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.19T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.17J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.16M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.12K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.12T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.12T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.11M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.10L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.10J. Ward · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.09L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.07L. Couture · Goal · xG 0.07M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.07M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.06J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.04L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.04L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.04K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.03M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · Goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gambrell · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01P. Martin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 3.2 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSJS
2.12 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL44%56%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSJS
25
Shots on goal
36
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
18
18
Blocked shots
28
6
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4T. BarrieD011-320.15100—28:02
29N. MacKinnonC011-250.691105322:14
96M. RantanenR101-210.11010—20:52
92G. LandeskogL000-130.244004020:36
49S. GirardD000+100.00010—20:36
16N. ZadorovD000-220.03510—19:47
17T. JostC000-230.27000018:18
12P. NemethD000010.02130—18:13
44M. BarberioD000010.01250—17:54
34C. SoderbergC000+120.011002015:21
83M. NietoL011+100.06000—15:03
14B. ComeauL101+120.162146014:30
13A. KerfootC000000.061105413:57
10S. AndrighettoR000010.14120—13:20
5D. WarsofskyD011+110.02020—12:29
37J. CompherL000-210.001003311:46
22C. WilsonC000-100.002006708:28
57G. BourqueL000-100.13100—07:19
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)35323.9142.42-0.5858:43

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).