San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the San Jose Sharks 3-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Bourque's goal at 2:31 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals were close — SJS 2.1, COL 2.1; shots on goal were SJS 39, COL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 17 of 19 (.895); Jonathan Bernier stopped 38 of 39 (.974), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Bernier (38 saves, .974), 2. Tyson Jost (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nikita Zadorov.
Three stars
- ★J. Bernier38 saves, .974

- ★★T. Jost1 G, 1 A

- ★★★N. Zadorov

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
0-12:31
0-24:45
1-213:29
3rd period
1-319:56
Penalties
1st
- 14:26
Anton Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
- 15:46
Mikkel Boedker · Holding the stickdrawn by Carl Soderberg2 min
2nd
- 17:54
Erik Johnson · Interferencedrawn by Logan Couture2 min
3rd
- 1:35
Dylan DeMelo · Slashingdrawn by Dominic Toninato2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Gabriel Bourque, 2nd 2:31 — 53% → 69%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.11 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.1
- 1.51 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.6
- 0.60 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 1.66
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 39
- Shots on goal
- 20
- 56%
- Faceoffs
- 44%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 7
- Hits
- 22
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 21
- 2
- Giveaways
- 4
- 7
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
