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Hurricanes at Flyers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
3
Philadelphia Flyers
▸4
FinalTV FS-CR, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakub Voracek's goal at 14:15 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 52% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were CAR 22, PHI 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Scott Darling stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.8 goals below expected; Brian Elliott stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A), 2. Sean Couturier (2 A), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Couturier2 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR270619322
PHIPHI11511326434

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    K. Dahlbeck(1)
    J. Skinner (25), D. Ryan (23)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    13:45
  2. PHI
    M. Raffl(12)
    C. Giroux (68), B. Manning (11)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    14:38
  3. CAR
    S. Aho(29)
    V. Zykov (4), T. Teravainen (40)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    14:52

2nd period

  1. PHI
    I. Provorov(16)
    S. Couturier (42), S. Gostisbehere (50)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    14:56

3rd period

  1. PHI
    C. Giroux(31)
    S. Couturier (43), S. Gostisbehere (51)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +31 pts
    2-3
    10:18
  2. CAR
    J. Staal(18)
    J. Williams (34), R. McKeown (3)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +35 pts
    3-3
    13:41
  3. PHI
    J. Voracek(20)
    N. Patrick (17), R. Gudas (13)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +37 pts
    3-4
    14:15

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·PHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:53PHITravis Konecny · Holdingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 11:53CARBrock McGinn · Embellishmentdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

2nd

  • 9:57PHIBrandon Manning · Slashingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 9:57CARJeff Skinner · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Manning2 min
  • 11:48PHIJakub Voracek · High stickingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCAR goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Jakub Voracek, 3rd 14:15 — PHI 52% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Provorov · Goal · xG 0.34J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.16M. Raffl · Goal · xG 0.16O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.14J. Lehtera · On goal · xG 0.14J. Lehtera · On goal · xG 0.12T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.10M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.08T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.08S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.08J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.07S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.06C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.06M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.06J. Lehtera · On goal · xG 0.05M. Read · Missed · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.04W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.02T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.02N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01J. Voracek · Goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.00B. Manning · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 2.2 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsPHI
1.73 G
All situations
4 G2.2
1.63 G
Even strength
4 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR40%60%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsPHI
22
Shots on goal
34
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/0
4
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
17
12
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
11
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000020.04100—25:11
6K. DahlbeckD101020.06620—20:51
5N. HanifinD000-200.00210—19:18
57T. van RiemsdykD000-210.02020—19:18
4H. FleuryD000+120.13220—18:27
20S. AhoC101+110.211003617:55
11J. StaalC101-120.023004417:52
53J. SkinnerL011-130.13002—16:58
86T. TeravainenC011+100.00010016:57
28E. LindholmC000-120.312004616:54
14J. WilliamsR011-120.06110—15:02
23B. McGinnL000030.40102—14:13
7D. RyanC011000.041107114:09
55R. McKeownD011+100.00000—13:47
21L. StempniakR000-100.05010—13:34
34P. Di GiuseppeL000-120.07000—12:58
73V. ZykovL011000.08000—12:55
42J. NordstromC000000.09010011:29
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Darling(L)34304.8822.21-1.7958:12

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).