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Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes

Final/OTTV FS-CR, NBCSP·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1 in overtime, Jordan Weal scoring at 4:56. The Hurricanes scored first; the Flyers answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Weal's goal at 4:56 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were PHI 30, CAR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Brian Elliott stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Cam Ward stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Jordan Weal (1 G), 2. Cam Ward (28 saves, .933), 3. Elias Lindholm (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    J. Weal1 G
  2. ★★
    CAR
    C. Ward28 saves, .933
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    E. Lindholm1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI0111100712230
CARCAR1100100206128

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    15:05

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.27win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    16:43

Overtime

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.14win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    4:56

Penalties

PHI 8 PIM·CAR 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:42PHIBrandon Manning · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min
  • 9:19CARKlas Dahlbeck · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Leier2 min
  • 12:37PHINolan Patrick · High sticking double minordrawn by Brock McGinn4 min
  • 16:14CARLee Stempniak · Holdingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min

2nd

  • 1:54PHIRadko Gudas · Trippingdrawn by Elias Lindholm2 min
  • 3:54CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 6:48CARJustin Faulk · Trippingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

3rd

  • 9:29CARTeuvo Teravainen · Slashingdrawn by Claude Giroux2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalPHI goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Jordan Weal, OT 4:56 — PHI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.35E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.24T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.17J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.17S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.16N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.13J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.13J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.13J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.12J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.09J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.09J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.08J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06L. Stempniak · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.06J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.05E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.03J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stempniak · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dahlbeck · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dahlbeck · Missed · xG 0.01J. Nordstrom · Missed · xG 0.01J. Nordstrom · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.01K. Dahlbeck · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.00T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 3.3 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsCAR
2.32 G
All situations
1 G3.3
1.52 G
Even strength
0 G2.7
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI33%67%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 3.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsCAR
30
Shots on goal
28
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
18
Hits
19
28
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53S. GostisbehereD011+130.11060—25:44
14S. CouturierC000020.351003024:57
9I. ProvorovD000020.27210—24:19
93J. VoracekR011+120.15000—21:30
28C. GirouxR000000.010106721:20
17W. SimmondsR101+110.26110—19:45
11T. KonecnyR000010.16210—19:36
3R. GudasD000050.10252—18:11
23B. ManningD000000.04332—16:24
19N. PatrickC011+140.181045716:21
51V. FilppulaC011+110.260305015:59
47A. MacDonaldD000+110.05140—15:35
8R. HaggD000+120.03310—14:18
12M. RafflL000010.05010—13:18
40J. WealC101+130.20000011:26
21S. LaughtonC000000.001003311:09
20T. LeierL000010.00100—11:01
15J. LehteraC000010.1201010007:27
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37B. Elliott(W)28271.9643.32+2.3264:56

Season series

PHI leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).