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Blackhawks at Blues
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Chicago Blackhawks
▸4
St. Louis Blues
3
FinalTV NBCSN·Scottrade Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3. The Blackhawks came back from two goals down. The Blues led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Duncan Keith's goal at 19:51 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 54% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were CHI 26, STL 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. J-F Berube stopped 31 of 34 (.912); Jake Allen stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Duncan Keith (1 G), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brayden Schenn (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    D. Keith1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    B. Schenn1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI1817211426
STLSTL11421505334

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    R. Bortuzzo(4)
    K. Brodziak (21)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:16
  2. CHI
    A. Martinsen(1)
    A. Anisimov (11), D. Sikura (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    8:57

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(27)
    V. Dunn (19), V. Tarasenko (33)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    0:47
  2. STL
    V. Tarasenko(33)
    B. Schenn (40)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    5:44
  3. CHI
    B. Hillman(1)SHG
    N. Schmaltz (30)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    10:12

3rd period

  1. CHI
    A. DeBrincat(28)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    8:30
  2. CHI
    D. Keith(2)PPG
    A. DeBrincat (24), B. Seabrook (19)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +45 pts
    4-3
    19:51

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 18:26CHIConnor Murphy · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Steen2 min

2nd

  • 2:58STLIvan Barbashev · Trippingdrawn by Artem Anisimov2 min
  • 8:15CHIDuncan Keith · Hookingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

3rd

  • 18:00STLChris Butler · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Sharp2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCHI goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Duncan Keith, 3rd 19:51 — CHI 54% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.18P. Berglund · Missed · xG 0.16I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.14V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.14P. Berglund · Missed · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.12B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.11T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.10J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.09O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09P. Berglund · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.08V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.06V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.06P. Berglund · Missed · xG 0.06V. Sobotka · Missed · xG 0.06V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.05P. Berglund · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · Goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01C. Butler · On goal · xG 0.01A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.01V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.00A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.00A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 3.0 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsSTL
1.74 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.42 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI27%73%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsSTL
26
Shots on goal
34
33%
Faceoffs
67%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
9
Hits
23
21
Blocked shots
16
3
Giveaways
4
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. SeabrookD011+110.23160—22:39
2D. KeithD101+130.12042—21:54
56E. GustafssonD000-130.17100—20:31
8N. SchmaltzC011000.000001319:14
44J. RuttaD000010.02020—18:53
88P. KaneR000-110.0500010018:44
15A. AnisimovC011030.300004418:33
20B. SaadL000-110.10000—18:00
5C. MurphyD000-210.01242—17:20
55B. HillmanD101010.04220—16:47
13T. JurcoR000000.000105014:53
29A. MartinsenL101+150.27200—14:03
12A. DeBrincatR112+110.05000—13:57
64D. KampfC000-100.001005413:23
95D. SikuraR011+210.03000—13:23
14V. EjdsellC000+100.000102011:23
48V. HinostrozaC000-100.00000011:14
10P. SharpL000-140.36010—11:09
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Berube(W)34313.9123.04+0.0460:00

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).