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Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaden Schwartz's goal at 5:59 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 5.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were CHI 24, STL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Corey Crawford stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected; Jake Allen stopped 22 of 24 (.917). Three stars: 1. Jaden Schwartz (3 G), 2. Jake Allen (22 saves, .917), 3. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Schwartz3 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Allen22 saves, .917
  3. ★★★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI0404216224
STLSTL1921727533

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:46

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    5:59
  2. STL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    7:49

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    0-4
    7:01
  2. CHI
    R. Panik(4)PPG
    D. Keith (4), P. Kane (7)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    14:47
  3. CHI
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    2-4
    16:07
  4. STL
    wristxG 0.45
    2-5
    19:08

Penalties

CHI 12 PIM·STL 16 PIM

1st

  • 1:14CHIPatrick Sharp · Trippingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 11:14STLSammy Blais · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Corey Crawford2 min
  • 15:37CHIArtem Anisimov · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 17:05CHIJonathan Toews · Trippingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min

2nd

  • 12:05STLPaul Stastny · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 14:30CHIGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 18:41CHIDuncan Keith · Trippingdrawn by Paul Stastny2 min

3rd

  • 1:44STLMagnus Paajarvi · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min
  • 7:14STLJoel Edmundson · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Saad2 min
  • 12:21STLVladimir Sobotka · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Sharp2 min
  • 14:40STLVladimir Sobotka · High sticking double minordrawn by Lance Bouma4 min
  • 14:40STLVladimir Sobotka · Roughingdrawn by Lance Bouma2 min
  • 14:40CHILance Bouma · Roughingdrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCHI goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz, 2nd 5:59 — STL 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.85S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.62P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.61J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.45B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.45B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.17V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.14B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.14V. Tarasenko · Goal · xG 0.13J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.12V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.11J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.09K. Brodziak · Goal · xG 0.09V. Sobotka · Missed · xG 0.08D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.08J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.08M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.07P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.07V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.07V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.06D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.06B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.05A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.04M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.03V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03D. Jaskin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.02B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.01R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.01C. Gunnarsson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01
STL5 G · 5.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsSTL
2.52 G
All situations
4 G5.8
1.30 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
1.22 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI43%57%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsSTL
24
Shots on goal
33
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/7
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
16
17
Hits
29
15
Blocked shots
27
2
Giveaways
2
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88P. KaneR011030.32000—23:44
2D. KeithD011-420.11012—23:14
7B. SeabrookD011-430.24110—21:31
19J. ToewsC000-120.200026719:39
20B. SaadL000-110.0801010019:01
44J. RuttaD000-100.00010—18:42
38R. HartmanR101-130.39220—18:22
8N. SchmaltzC000010.140004218:07
42G. ForslingD000-100.00022—16:49
6M. KempnyD000010.02130—15:16
14R. PanikR101010.21320—14:12
15A. AnisimovC000-110.300025013:58
12A. DeBrincatR011-230.33000—13:43
5C. MurphyD000010.13010—13:24
10P. SharpL000-310.00202—12:07
57T. WingelsC000-300.005006311:18
40J. HaydenC000-300.00110010:25
17L. BoumaL000-110.01202—09:30
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50C. Crawford(L)32284.8752.83-1.1756:58

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).