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Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks

Final/OTTV PRIME, KCOP-13·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-1 in overtime, Rickard Rakell scoring at 4:41. The Kings scored first; the Ducks answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rickard Rakell's goal at 4:41 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.3 to 2.4; shots on goal were LAK 29, ANA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.3 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 28 of 29 (.966), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Rickard Rakell (1 G), 2. Ryan Getzlaf, 3. Nick Ritchie (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Rakell1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Getzlaf
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    N. Ritchie1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK1100100702129
ANAANA0161110214233

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    A. Kopitar (55), D. Brown (33)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    6:01

2nd period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +22 pts
    1-1
    16:55

Overtime

  1. ANA
    B. Montour (22), O. Kase (18)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    4:41

Penalties

LAK 2 PIM·ANA 0 PIM

2nd

  • 19:26LAKAlec Martinez · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalLAK goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Rickard Rakell, OT 4:41 — ANA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.22N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.19N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.18C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.17J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.14C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.13J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.12R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.12R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.11R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.11C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.10J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.09A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.08R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.08O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.08H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.07R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.07J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.05J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.05O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.04F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.03J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.02R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.01F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.00A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 3.3 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsANA
2.41 G
All situations
2 G3.3
2.41 G
Even strength
2 G3.1
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK36%64%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsANA
29
Shots on goal
33
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/0
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
0
22
Hits
29
18
Blocked shots
12
10
Giveaways
12
8
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD101+130.22010—29:18
24D. ForbortD000+120.03320—26:44
27A. MartinezD000-110.02042—21:42
23D. BrownR011+100.32110—20:41
11A. KopitarC011+100.000004520:12
77J. CarterC000040.301202218:58
3D. PhaneufD000-110.02020—18:54
5C. FolinD000000.00210—16:59
22T. LewisC000-200.003005016:30
73T. ToffoliC000060.51210016:27
70T. PearsonL000+120.12100—16:11
10T. RiederL000-120.04100—15:57
9A. KempeR000-220.30210—14:45
44N. ThompsonC000010.031004414:37
13K. CliffordL000020.30300—12:07
38P. LaDueD000-110.02030—11:12
52M. AmadioR000000.070005010:25
71T. MitchellC000020.122002510:24
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(O)33312.9393.29+1.2964:41

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).