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Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Los Angeles Kings 2-1. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Kesler's goal at 12:21 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were LAK 24, ANA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.9 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Kesler (1 G), 2. Jonathan Quick (29 saves, .935), 3. Andrew Cogliano (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Kesler1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    J. Quick29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Cogliano1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0501019124
ANAANA0170826231

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +24 pts
    0-1
    2:05
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +26 pts
    1-1
    4:48
  3. ANA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +34 pts
    1-2
    12:21

Penalties

LAK 4 PIM·ANA 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:37LAKMarian Gaborik · Hookingdrawn by Cam Fowler2 min

2nd

  • 9:12LAKDerek Forbort · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 16:53ANAAndrew Cogliano · Hookingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalLAK goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Kesler, 3rd 12:21 — ANA 52% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.73R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.22C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.20R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.17N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.14R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.12J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.12A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.10A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.10A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.09A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.09R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.08O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.08J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.07O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.07C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.06R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.06R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.05R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.05R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.05C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04R. Kesler · Goal · xG 0.03R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.03C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.02A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.02O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.02C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.00R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA2 G · 3.6 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsANA
1.71 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK29%71%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsANA
24
Shots on goal
31
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
28
Hits
31
12
Blocked shots
24
11
Giveaways
8
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000020.15220—27:50
24D. ForbortD000000.01232—22:30
6J. MuzzinD011+110.14310—22:28
11A. KopitarC011+120.111003520:38
27A. MartinezD000+100.00110—20:36
22T. LewisC000-120.22400019:04
23D. BrownR000+100.05310—18:21
19A. IafalloL101+130.20000—15:56
73T. ToffoliC000-140.29110015:33
21N. ShoreC000-110.082006715:13
70T. PearsonL000-130.040005015:01
9A. KempeR000-110.033003814:46
12M. GaborikR000000.04002—14:17
5C. FolinD000-200.02200—13:42
13K. CliffordL000-120.22300—12:36
53K. GravelD000-210.03110—11:58
71T. MitchellC000010.050202509:21
52M. AmadioR000010.060003308:10
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(L)31292.9352.92+0.9258:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).