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Blue Jackets at Flames
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Calgary Flames

FinalTV FS-O, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Calgary Flames 5-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Luc Dubois's goal at 12:23 of the first period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.5 to 2.5; shots on goal were CBJ 28, CGY 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.5 goals saved above expected; Jon Gillies stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (37 saves, .974), 2. Pierre-Luc Dubois (3 G), 3. Artemi Panarin (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    S. Bobrovsky37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    P. Dubois3 G
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    A. Panarin2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ21315210528
CGYCGY014013111138

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:09
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    12:23

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.18win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    3:55

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    T. Vanek (31), R. Murray (10)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +1 pts
    4-0
    10:58
  2. CBJ
    P. Dubois(18)PPG
    wristxG 0.12
    5-0
    15:23
  3. CGY
    wristxG 0.11
    5-1
    19:38

Penalties

CBJ 4 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

2nd

  • 4:54CGYRasmus Andersson · Boardingdrawn by Markus Hannikainen2 min
  • 13:31CBJIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Tanner Glass2 min
  • 18:50CGYGarnet Hathaway · Slashingdrawn by Markus Nutivaara2 min

3rd

  • 14:13CGYMark Giordano · Holdingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min
  • 17:36CBJMatt Calvert · Trippingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalCBJ goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Luc Dubois, 1st 12:23 — CBJ 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.19S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.18C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.16G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.16N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.16C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.14M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.13M. Stajan · Missed · xG 0.12T. Glass · Missed · xG 0.12N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.11C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.11C. Stewart · Goal · xG 0.11M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.11T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.09M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.08C. Stewart · On goal · xG 0.08M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.08R. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.07T. Glass · On goal · xG 0.07C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.07N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.05M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.04C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01R. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 3.5 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsCGY
2.55 G
All situations
1 G3.5
1.94 G
Even strength
1 G3.4
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ35%65%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 3.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
38
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
8
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
11
5
Giveaways
5
9
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000+120.14050—22:53
27R. MurrayD011+300.02120—20:59
18P. DuboisC303+140.391305320:46
65M. NutivaaraD101+320.05000—20:23
8Z. WerenskiD000+130.29020—18:35
9A. PanarinL022+210.29000—18:12
10A. WennbergC000+100.000005617:47
58D. SavardD000-100.00000—17:35
55M. LetestuC011+120.130005517:29
23I. ColeD000-110.03112—15:54
38B. JennerC000+120.171106015:34
11M. CalvertL011010.06112—15:23
26T. VanekL011+110.17000—15:21
13C. AtkinsonR022+240.33000—14:14
28O. BjorkstrandR011020.18100—13:24
22S. MilanoL011000.08000—13:07
37M. HannikainenL101030.21010—12:57
17B. DubinskyC000000.002006705:27
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)38371.9743.52+2.5260:00

Season series

CBJ leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).