Flames at Blue Jackets 0-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Calgary Flames

Columbus Blue Jackets

▸1

Final/OTTV FS-O, SN360·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Calgary Flames 1-0 in overtime, Josh Anderson scoring at 2:02. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Anderson's goal at 2:02 of overtime, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 2.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were CGY 22, CBJ 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blue Jackets win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 22 of 22 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Anderson (1 G), 2. Mike Smith (40 saves, .976), 3. Sergei Bobrovsky (22 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

★
J. Anderson1 G
★★
M. Smith40 saves, .976
★★★
S. Bobrovsky22 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T
CGY	010	03	07	02	022
CBJ	014	012	013	12	141

Scoring

1 goal

Overtime

J. Anderson(8)
N. Foligno (6)
wristxG 0.20win prob +49 pts
0-1
2:02

Penalties

4 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

1:19Mark Giordano · Trippingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
5:39Mark Giordano · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min
7:22Nick Foligno · Hookingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CBJ

100%

Biggest swing: Josh Anderson, OT 2:02 — CBJ 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 2.9 xG · 55 att

←

attacks

attacks →

0 G · 1.6 xG · 37 att CBJ

1 G · 2.9 xG · 55 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.60 G
All situations: 1 G2.9; 1.60 G
Even strength: 1 G2.3; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

27%73%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

22
Shots on goal: 41; 54%
Faceoffs: 46%; 0/1
Power play: 0/2; 4
Penalty minutes: 2; 8
Hits: 16; 15
Blocked shots: 17; 7
Giveaways: 6; 4
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Calgary Flames skaters
Skater	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
7T. BrodieD	-1	1	0.01	0	1	0	—	25:19
27D. HamiltonD	0	2	0.20	1	1	0	—	22:10
5M. GiordanoD	0	2	0.06	2	3	4	—	20:58
13J. GaudreauL	0	2	0.32	0	0	0	—	20:40
24T. HamonicD	0	1	0.02	1	1	0	—	19:47
23S. MonahanC	0	2	0.06	0	0	0	42	19:16
11M. BacklundC	0	2	0.19	0	1	0	69	18:57
67M. FrolikR	0	1	0.08	0	1	0	100	18:40
26M. StoneD	0	0	0.03	0	2	0	—	16:52
79M. FerlandL	0	0	0.06	1	0	0	100	16:37
61B. KulakD	0	1	0.03	0	4	0	—	16:17
77M. JankowskiL	-1	1	0.11	0	0	0	46	15:44
19M. TkachukL	0	3	0.24	0	0	0	—	15:05
68J. JagrR	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	—	13:59
10K. VersteegR	-1	2	0.06	0	0	0	100	13:25
93S. BennettC	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	0	12:08
36T. BrouwerR	0	2	0.12	1	0	0	—	09:43
25F. HamiltonC	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	33	06:29

Calgary Flames goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
41M. Smith(O)	41	40	1	.976	2.87	+1.87	62:02

Season series

CBJ leads 2-0

Nov 220@1OTthis game
Mar 295@1Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Calgary Flames at Columbus Blue Jackets

Overtime

2nd

Box score