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Panthers at Senators
NHL

Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
2
Ottawa Senators
▸3
Final/OTTV FS-F, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Florida Panthers 3-2 in overtime, Jean-Gabriel Pageau scoring at 4:44. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jean-Gabriel Pageau's goal at 4:44 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.4 to 1.5; shots on goal were FLA 26, OTT 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. James Reimer stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 24 of 26 (.923). Three stars: 1. Jean-Gabriel Pageau (2 G), 2. Erik Karlsson (1 A), 3. Craig Anderson (24 saves, .923).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    J. Pageau2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    E. Karlsson1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    C. Anderson24 saves, .923

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
FLAFLA082601002226
OTTOTT0101121513330

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. OTT
    J. Pageau(13)
    M. Hoffman (31), T. Pyatt (15)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    1:24
  2. FLA
    A. Ekblad(16)PPG
    J. McGinn (14), K. Yandle (46)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    5:19
  3. FLA
    E. Dadonov(26)
    M. Weegar (6), A. Petrovic (11)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    2-1
    6:50

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Paajarvi(8)
    Z. Smith (14), E. Karlsson (50)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    0:16

Overtime

  1. OTT
    J. Pageau(14)Penalty shot
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.27win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:44

Penalties

FLA 2 PIM·OTT 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:35OTTMax McCormick · High stickingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min

3rd

  • 9:35OTTAlexandre Burrows · Slashingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 12:16FLAKeith Yandle · Slashingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

OT

  • 4:44FLAMike Matheson · Ps tripping on breakawaydrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalFLA goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Jean-Gabriel Pageau, OT 4:44 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.27Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.20J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.18E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.14J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.13T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pageau · Goal · xG 0.13Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.12T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.08M. Paajarvi · Goal · xG 0.08J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.08F. Chlapik · On goal · xG 0.06T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.06C. White · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04M. McCormick · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.02T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.02M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.02C. White · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 2.4 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsOTT
1.52 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA32%68%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.51 – 2.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsOTT
26
Shots on goal
30
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
28
14
Blocked shots
17
9
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
19M. MathesonD000-230.28100—25:31
21V. TrocheckC000-220.114105423:36
5A. EkbladD101020.18100—23:35
3K. YandleD011020.06112—23:15
11J. HuberdeauL000-200.00220—21:51
13M. PysykD000-220.02220—21:07
16A. BarkovC000+130.060502921:04
63E. DadonovL101+120.15000—18:08
88J. McGinnL011-230.18000—16:22
7C. SceviourC000+120.14010014:57
62D. MalginC000000.001006714:39
6A. PetrovicD011+100.00310—14:34
52M. WeegarD011+100.03400—14:03
27N. BjugstadC000010.01200013:09
95H. BorgstromC000020.140005012:41
90J. McCannL000010.1411010011:57
17D. MacKenzieC000010.031005011:31
72F. VatranoR000000.00100—10:14
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Reimer(O)30273.9002.43-0.5764:42

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).