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Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins

FinalTV FS-F, NESN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-2. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tim Schaller's goal at 19:02 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were TBL 28, BOS 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 0.7 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (26 saves, .929), 2. Patrice Bergeron (1 G, 2 A), 3. David Pastrnak (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    T. Rask26 saves, .929
  2. ★★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    D. Pastrnak1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL06111111228
BOSBOS21703210430

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:02
  2. BOS
    T. Krug (42), P. Bergeron (30)
    deflectedxG 0.11win prob +11 pts
    0-2
    19:34

2nd period

  1. TBL
    J. Miller(21)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    1:44

3rd period

  1. BOS
    T. Krug (43), B. Marchand (50)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    11:59
  2. TBL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    2-3
    13:54
  3. BOS
    backhandxG 0.91win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:04

Penalties

TBL 21 PIM·BOS 23 PIM

1st

  • 8:12TBLBrayden Point · Holdingdrawn by Patrice Bergeron2 min
  • 14:26BOSKevan Miller · High stickingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 19:29TBLAlex Killorn · Interferencedrawn by Matt Grzelcyk2 min

2nd

  • 1:18BOSBrian Gionta · Boardingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 8:41BOSRyan Donato · High stickingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 11:16TBLCory Conacher · Roughingdrawn by Tuukka Rask2 min
  • 11:16TBLCory Conacher · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Tuukka Rask2 min
  • 11:16TBLAndrei Vasilevskiy · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Tuukka Rask2 min
  • 11:16BOSTuukka Rask · Roughingdrawn by Cory Conacher2 min
  • 11:16BOSTuukka Rask · Roughingdrawn by Cory Conacher2 min
  • 16:10BOSAdam McQuaid · Hookingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

3rd

  • 7:16BOSDavid Pastrnak · Fightingdrawn by Dan Girardi5 min
  • 7:16TBLDan Girardi · Fightingdrawn by David Pastrnak5 min
  • 10:13TBLCedric Paquette · Roughingdrawn by David Backes2 min
  • 10:13BOSDavid Backes · Roughingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 19:54TBLJ.T. Miller · Roughingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min
  • 19:54TBLNikita Kucherov · Slashingdrawn by Tim Schaller2 min
  • 19:54BOSNoel Acciari · Slashingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 19:54BOSTim Schaller · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalTBL goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Tim Schaller, 1st 19:02 — BOS 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.91B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.21R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.19T. Schaller · Goal · xG 0.16T. Schaller · Missed · xG 0.16D. Pastrnak · Goal · xG 0.11D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wingels · On goal · xG 0.10P. Bergeron · Goal · xG 0.10M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.10T. Schaller · On goal · xG 0.08D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.07R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.07D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.06D. Krejci · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.06D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.05D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.03A. McQuaid · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.03R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02A. McQuaid · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02A. McQuaid · On goal · xG 0.02D. Krejci · On goal · xG 0.02T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gionta · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.01N. Holden · Missed · xG 0.01N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.01P. Bergeron · Missed · xG 0.01D. Backes · Missed · xG 0.01D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 3.2 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsBOS
2.52 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.71 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL53%47%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsBOS
28
Shots on goal
30
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
1/3
21
Penalty minutes
23
38
Hits
29
13
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
7
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD112-110.05210—24:32
27R. McDonaghD000-110.08500—24:04
6A. StralmanD000020.03020—20:45
86N. KucherovR011-210.13002—19:11
9T. JohnsonC000030.17110018:58
21B. PointC000040.701124718:56
91S. StamkosC000-210.111006818:50
17A. KillornL000020.08312—17:42
10J. MillerC101-320.504025017:06
37Y. GourdeC011+100.12200017:00
5D. GirardiD011050.11315—16:57
18O. PalatL000010.0322010014:23
55B. CoburnD000010.11020—13:50
71A. CirelliC000-100.001201013:12
98M. SergachevD000-130.15200—12:07
14C. KunitzL000000.00700—10:54
13C. PaquetteC000010.104022908:53
89C. ConacherC000000.00004007:45
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)29263.8972.33-0.6758:33

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).