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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

Final/OTTV NBCSN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Evgeny Kuznetsov scoring at 0:38. The Rangers scored first; the Capitals answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeny Kuznetsov's goal at 0:38 of overtime, which took the Capitals' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were NYR 37, WSH 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Braden Holtby stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Braden Holtby (35 saves, .946), 3. Henrik Lundqvist (30 saves, .909).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    B. Holtby35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist30 saves, .909

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR1180911000237
WSHWSH1801311111333

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    K. Hayes(22)PPG
    J. Vesey (10), B. Skjei (19)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    12:42
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    19:27

3rd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.05win prob +33 pts
    2-1
    10:35
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.13win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    18:55

Overtime

  1. WSH
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.09win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    0:38

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·WSH 12 PIM

1st

  • 10:59WSHNicklas Backstrom · Roughingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 13:25NYRRob O'Gara · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov0 min
  • 13:44WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 15:57NYRBrady Skjei · Slashingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

2nd

  • 6:50NYRFilip Chytil · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 9:50NYRNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Chandler Stephenson2 min
  • 14:50WSHMichal Kempny · High stickingdrawn by Cody McLeod2 min
  • 14:50WSHMichal Kempny · High stickingdrawn by Cody McLeod2 min

3rd

  • 2:37WSHJay Beagle · Holdingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 4:21WSHJohn Carlson · Roughingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 4:21NYRJimmy Vesey · Roughingdrawn by John Carlson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Evgeny Kuznetsov, OT 0:38 — WSH 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.18N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.16D. Smith-Pelly · Missed · xG 0.16S. Gersich · On goal · xG 0.15E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.15E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.14L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.13T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.13T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.12T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.11T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.10A. Burakovsky · Goal · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.10A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.09E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.09B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.07D. Smith-Pelly · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gersich · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.05D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.05A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03C. Djoos · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gersich · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kempny · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Smith-Pelly · Missed · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWSH
3.52 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.71 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.71 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR55%45%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.41 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWSH
37
Shots on goal
33
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/5
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
21
Hits
16
15
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
15
12
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44N. PionkD000-120.19322—26:19
76B. SkjeiD022-130.33112—24:00
18M. StaalD000-120.02010—22:22
36M. ZuccarelloR000050.38020—20:21
93M. ZibanejadC000-230.533104519:49
13K. HayesR101010.171108319:47
20C. KreiderL000-250.3320010017:54
46R. O'GaraD000+110.02100—16:15
23R. SpoonerC101030.231004015:32
89P. BuchnevichL000020.05100—15:22
90V. NamestnikovC000020.231005015:18
17J. FastR000-110.22420—15:07
72F. ChytilC000-140.530024014:40
26J. VeseyL011010.13002—13:34
25R. SproulD000010.05020—12:34
50L. AnderssonC011+100.000202012:20
58J. GilmourD000-110.07210—10:26
8C. McLeodL000000.00100—04:16
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(O)33303.9093.09+0.0960:36

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).