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New York Rangers at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NHLN-US, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 4-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Niskanen's goal at 16:28 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were NYR 29, WSH 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Matt Niskanen (1 G), 2. Braden Holtby (27 saves, .931), 3. Tom Wilson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    M. Niskanen1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    B. Holtby27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR0911317229
WSHWSH11718215440

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:14

2nd period

  1. WSH
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    11:42
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    19:03

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +30 pts
    2-2
    9:37
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.06win prob +40 pts
    2-3
    16:28
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.15win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:28

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:57NYRMats Zuccarello · Slashingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

2nd

  • 1:34NYRJ.T. Miller · Trippingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min
  • 1:57WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Trippingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min
  • 13:32NYRPaul Carey · High stickingdrawn by Devante Smith-Pelly2 min
  • 16:28WSHAlex Chiasson · Holdingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

3rd

  • 6:08WSHMadison Bowey · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 11:51NYRBrendan Smith · Hookingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYR goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Matt Niskanen, 3rd 16:28 — WSH 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.47A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.30L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.21J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.17N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.17J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.15T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.15E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.13N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.12T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.08E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Beagle · Goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.07M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.06J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.06J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Niskanen · Goal · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.05L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bowey · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vrana · Missed · xG 0.02L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.01C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 3.9 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsWSH
2.12 G
All situations
4 G3.9
1.92 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR28%72%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 3.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsWSH
29
Shots on goal
40
37%
Faceoffs
63%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
21
16
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27R. McDonaghD011-110.04240—24:47
76B. SkjeiD000-220.09100—20:34
22K. ShattenkirkD000-330.24110—19:43
55N. HoldenD000000.02220—19:17
36M. ZuccarelloR000040.4520210018:26
10J. MillerC011010.250123817:51
61R. NashL000-110.082005017:39
13K. HayesR000-120.070001416:53
18M. StaalD011+130.10010—16:27
42B. SmithD000+120.13112—15:55
40M. GrabnerL101040.22020—15:43
89P. BuchnevichL000-120.01000—14:19
20C. KreiderL000-100.043105014:01
51D. DesharnaisC000-110.011104613:06
26J. VeseyL000-100.0740010013:04
17J. FastR101010.0700010011:58
28P. CareyC011010.12002011:47
24B. NievesC000010.10120011:22
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(L)40364.9003.45-0.5559:08

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).