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Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

Final/OTTV PRIME, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-4 in overtime, Hampus Lindholm scoring at 1:21. The Ducks came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Hampus Lindholm's goal at 1:21 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — ANA 3.7, EDM 3.8; shots on goal were ANA 38, EDM 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. John Gibson stopped 28 of 32 (.875); Cam Talbot stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Ethan Bear (1 G, 1 A), 2. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 3. Adam Henrique (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    E. Bear1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Henrique2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA0111432211538
EDMEDM0123141600432

Scoring

9 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    0-1
    1:46
  2. ANA
    slapxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:05
  3. EDM
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    7:44
  4. EDM
    E. Bear (3), J. Khaira (10)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    18:18

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    1:55
  2. ANA
    C. Fowler (23), R. Rakell (33)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    5:51
  3. EDM
    E. Bear(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +27 pts
    3-4
    12:42
  4. ANA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +42 pts
    4-4
    18:31

Overtime

  1. ANA
    snapxG 0.15win prob +51 pts
    5-4
    1:21

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:35ANAChris Kelly · Hookingdrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min
  • 7:24ANAAdam Henrique · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Cam Talbot2 min
  • 19:45EDMDarnell Nurse · High stickingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min

2nd

  • 5:41ANAHampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
  • 12:15EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Hookingdrawn by Nick Ritchie2 min

3rd

  • 12:00ANANick Ritchie · Trippingdrawn by Andrej Sekera2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Hampus Lindholm, OT 1:21 — ANA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.52R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.39J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.29J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.21M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.20T. Rattie · Missed · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.13J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.10P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.08R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.08R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.08E. Bear · Goal · xG 0.08A. Slepyshev · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06T. Rattie · Goal · xG 0.06I. Pakarinen · Missed · xG 0.06A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.05M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.05P. Aberg · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.03M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.03J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.03E. Bear · On goal · xG 0.03J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.02P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.02I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02K. Russell · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01K. Russell · Missed · xG 0.01A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM4 G · 3.8 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
3.75 G
All situations
4 G3.8
3.25 G
Even strength
3 G3.3
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 99 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA55%45%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.60 – 3.28

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
38
Shots on goal
32
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
26
8
Blocked shots
19
17
Giveaways
15
11
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD022+120.10120—26:14
15R. GetzlafC011+200.220004225:06
26B. MontourD011+120.10010—24:37
47H. LindholmD101+120.26302—22:41
42J. MansonD101-110.19520—21:11
67R. RakellR022+350.4010010020:56
17R. KeslerC011-150.150105819:43
10C. PerryR112+240.31000—19:01
33J. SilfverbergR000010.28210—17:26
14A. HenriqueC202+250.841026415:33
7A. CoglianoC011030.14110015:26
23F. BeaucheminD000010.02100—13:23
65M. PetterssonD011010.01200—13:18
37N. RitchieL000030.19202—11:55
25O. KaseR000020.48100—11:35
38D. GrantC000-100.000003607:30
20J. ChimeraL000010.01400—06:21
22C. KellyC000000.00002005:34
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)32284.8753.76-0.2461:12

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).