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Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Corey Perry's goal at 15:50 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were EDM 32, ANA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 31 of 34 (.912); John Gibson stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Corey Perry (1 G), 2. Hampus Lindholm (1 G, 1 A), 3. Josh Manson.

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    C. Perry1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. Manson

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM01411216232
ANAANA111113110334

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:28

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    15:50
  2. EDM
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    16:58

3rd period

  1. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    3:04
  2. EDM
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 pts
    2-3
    14:55

Penalties

EDM 9 PIM·ANA 11 PIM

1st

  • 6:51EDMPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Kevin Bieksa5 min
  • 6:51ANAKevin Bieksa · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min

2nd

  • 5:16ANAJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 11:38ANAAndrew Cogliano · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 18:36EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Kesler2 min

3rd

  • 4:29EDMMilan Lucic · High stickingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 11:16ANAserved by R. Rakell · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalEDM goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Corey Perry, 2nd 15:50 — ANA 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.16B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.16C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.15A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.14R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.13N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.13J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.13R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.12B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.10R. Kesler · Goal · xG 0.10J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.09R. Kesler · Missed · xG 0.08J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.08C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.08A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.07K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.07A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.06O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.04F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.04H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.03R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.03O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.01R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.00C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.8 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsANA
3.22 G
All situations
3 G2.8
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM58%42%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.21 – 2.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsANA
32
Shots on goal
34
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
18
Hits
28
9
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD000+140.21100—26:46
25D. NurseD000-140.21140—25:19
4K. RussellD101020.16220—21:07
97C. McDavidC011-130.651002921:06
88B. DavidsonD000010.04110—19:56
19P. MaroonL011-110.35405—19:16
29L. DraisaitlC000-130.340004419:08
98J. PuljujarviR000-220.12002—18:02
83M. BenningD000-120.06210—16:59
18R. StromeC000020.111007116:49
58A. SlepyshevL101+220.52010—15:25
27M. LucicL000-110.05102—14:53
16J. KhairaL000010.141005713:45
26I. PakarinenR000+100.03200—12:25
55M. LetestuC000+110.030006012:07
44Z. KassianR000-110.07000—11:49
91D. CaggiulaL000020.14100—08:11
2A. SekeraD000-100.00000—03:30
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)34313.9122.80-0.2059:27

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).