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Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets

Final/OTTV FS-W, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Anaheim Ducks 3-2 in overtime, Kyle Connor scoring at 3:16. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kyle Connor's goal at 3:16 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.9 to 1.4; shots on goal were ANA 18, WPG 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 87% of the time. John Gibson stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Gibson (39 saves, .929), 2. Blake Wheeler (2 A), 3. Mark Scheifele (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    J. Gibson39 saves, .929
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA14061602218
WPGWPG1171160811342

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    D. Grant(11)PPG
    deflectedxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-0
    5:51
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    6:46

2nd period

  1. WPG
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    0:45

3rd period

  1. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.03win prob +31 pts
    2-2
    10:17

Overtime

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.19win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    3:16

Penalties

ANA 4 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:05WPGJoel Armia · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Kesler2 min

2nd

  • 1:10ANAMarcus Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 5:09WPGDustin Byfuglien · Hookingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min

3rd

  • 1:28ANAHampus Lindholm · Holdingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalANA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Kyle Connor, OT 3:16 — WPG 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.35B. Little · On goal · xG 0.20K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.19M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.18J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.16K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.14K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.14P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.13B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.12P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.11T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.11P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.11K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.11B. Little · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.10B. Little · Missed · xG 0.09N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.07P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.06B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.06P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.05P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.05A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.05D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.03M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.03B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Enstrom · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.02M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.02B. Little · On goal · xG 0.02B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 3.9 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsWPG
1.42 G
All situations
3 G3.9
0.91 G
Even strength
3 G3.5
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA13%87%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.44 – 3.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsWPG
18
Shots on goal
42
37%
Faceoffs
63%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
18
Hits
27
24
Blocked shots
6
19
Giveaways
9
1
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-110.07240—26:48
14A. HenriqueC000-110.150201625:44
47H. LindholmD011-120.09202—25:40
26B. MontourD000-120.04010—24:00
67R. RakellR000-200.10200—21:26
10C. PerryR000-120.02100—19:44
17R. KeslerC000-120.321203319:26
33J. SilfverbergR000-110.0501010018:41
23F. BeaucheminD000000.03330—18:24
65M. PetterssonD011020.04112—18:06
7A. CoglianoC000000.1810010014:39
25O. KaseR000+120.14010—14:07
38D. GrantC101020.170006214:03
37N. RitchieL101+110.05210—13:47
5K. HolzerD000000.00240—10:53
50A. VermetteC000000.001305007:21
22C. KellyC000000.0000010006:54
20J. ChimeraL000-100.01010—06:05
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(O)42393.9293.94+0.9463:16

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).