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Winnipeg Jets at Anaheim Ducks

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Francois Beauchemin's goal at 5:46 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 19% to 36%. Expected goals were close — WPG 3.3, ANA 3.1; shots on goal were WPG 36, ANA 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 2.1 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 32 of 35 (.914). Three stars: 1. Nikolaj Ehlers (2 G, 1 A), 2. Andrew Cogliano, 3. Bryan Little (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Cogliano
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    B. Little1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG212113111436
ANAANA08112011131

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.33win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:40
  2. WPG
    N. Ehlers(10)PPG
    snapxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    4:59

2nd period

  1. ANA
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    5:46
  2. WPG
    B. Little(3)PPG
    snapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    12:06

3rd period

  1. WPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.42win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    18:20

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·ANA 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:17ANAFrancois Beauchemin · Interferencedrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 3:47ANADennis Rasmussen · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 7:51WPGJosh Morrissey · Roughingdrawn by Chris Wagner2 min
  • 7:51ANAChris Wagner · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min

2nd

  • 10:40ANAAndrew Cogliano · Hookingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 14:22WPGMark Scheifele · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

3rd

  • 10:25WPGJosh Morrissey · Trippingdrawn by Antoine Vermette2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalWPG goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Francois Beauchemin, 2nd 5:46 — ANA 19% → 36%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.41C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.18D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.14C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.12J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.12R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.11B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.11A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.11J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.10R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09K. Roy · On goal · xG 0.09A. Vermette · Missed · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.09D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.08J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.07C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.07B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.05C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.05S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04D. Rasmussen · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.04A. Vermette · Missed · xG 0.04J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.04R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.03F. Beauchemin · Goal · xG 0.03J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.02F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.02D. Rasmussen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Liambas · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.01C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.00N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.00L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 3.1 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsANA
3.33 G
All situations
1 G3.1
2.31 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG45%55%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsANA
36
Shots on goal
31
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/3
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
20
19
Blocked shots
12
15
Giveaways
13
9
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD000+160.33440—25:31
55M. ScheifeleC000+130.153225721:11
44J. MorrisseyD000+120.03024—19:50
26B. WheelerR000+120.08010—19:48
8J. TroubaD000+110.03340—19:21
81K. ConnorL101+140.79100—18:44
7B. ChiarotD000+130.09310—17:57
57T. MyersD022-130.20110—16:41
5D. KulikovD000-110.03210—16:26
13B. TanevL000-120.04510—15:22
29P. LaineL011+110.31000—14:29
27N. EhlersL213+130.67000—14:25
9A. CoppC000-110.06000013:43
17A. LowryC000-100.071105813:35
15M. HendricksC000000.001103012:37
18B. LittleC123+130.321005812:08
85M. PerreaultC000000.0210010011:31
40J. ArmiaR000010.06100—10:41
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)31301.9683.10+2.1060:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).