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Flames at Coyotes
NHL

Calgary Flames at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
2
Utah Mammoth
▸5
FinalTV FS-A, SNW·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Calgary Flames 5-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Ekman-Larsson's goal at 16:19 of the third period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 52% to 91%. Expected goals were close — CGY 3.8, ARI 3.6; shots on goal were CGY 44, ARI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected; Antti Raanta stopped 42 of 44 (.955), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (2 G), 2. Antti Raanta (42 saves, .955), 3. Max Domi (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson2 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    A. Raanta42 saves, .955
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    M. Domi2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY016216012244
ARIARI0921437530

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. ARI
    R. Panik(9)
    C. Keller (33), D. Stepan (34)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    5:15
  2. CGY
    D. Hamilton(16)
    M. Giordano (24), C. Stewart (5)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    9:05
  3. CGY
    S. Monahan(31)
    J. Gaudreau (59), D. Hamilton (27)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    15:28
  4. ARI
    M. Domi(6)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.12win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    17:31

3rd period

  1. ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson(12)
    M. Domi (28), B. Perlini (11)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +39 pts
    2-3
    16:19
  2. ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson(13)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.43win prob +6 pts
    2-4
    18:23
  3. ARI
    M. Domi(7)EN
    C. Dvorak (20), D. Stepan (35)
    wristxG 0.88
    2-5
    19:39

Penalties

CGY 6 PIM·ARI 10 PIM

1st

  • 11:38ARIRichard Panik · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 11:38CGYSam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Richard Panik2 min
  • 13:05ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · Chargingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min
  • 15:31ARIMax Domi · High stickingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min

2nd

  • 0:18CGYTravis Hamonic · Interferencedrawn by Richard Panik2 min

3rd

  • 3:41ARIJosh Archibald · Chargingdrawn by Curtis Lazar2 min
  • 5:32ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 5:32CGYSam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Niklas Hjalmarsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalCGY goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, 3rd 16:19 — ARI 52% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.88O. Ekman-Larsson · Goal · xG 0.43B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.19N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.19Z. Rinaldo · Missed · xG 0.17Z. Rinaldo · On goal · xG 0.13C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.13M. Domi · Goal · xG 0.12C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.12C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.11D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.10C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.07R. Panik · Goal · xG 0.06A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.06B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.06O. Ekman-Larsson · Goal · xG 0.05D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hjalmarsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.02D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.02B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.02C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01J. Demers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.00O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.00A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.00J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI5 G · 3.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsARI
3.82 G
All situations
3 G3.6
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.10 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 108 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY72%28%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.67 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsARI
44
Shots on goal
30
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
10
27
Hits
25
21
Blocked shots
16
5
Giveaways
9
1
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD011-210.08230—25:09
27D. HamiltonD112-160.56120—23:30
24T. HamonicD000-110.03332—21:50
26M. StoneD000010.03250—21:39
23S. MonahanC101-381.000103220:17
13J. GaudreauL011-350.25100—19:35
11M. BacklundC000-260.301008118:49
67M. FrolikR000030.18000—17:13
36T. BrouwerR000-110.194006716:42
93S. BennettC000060.34204015:48
61B. KulakD000-100.03220—14:30
54R. AnderssonD000-110.05020—13:32
77M. JankowskiL000-110.180005012:07
21G. HathawayR000000.04220—11:58
8C. StewartR011-120.06000—11:57
79M. FerlandL000000.07110—11:24
20C. LazarC000-120.28400011:04
18M. StajanC000+100.092005010:22
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)28253.8932.27-0.7358:34

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).