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Utah Mammoth at Calgary Flames

FinalTV FS-A, SN360·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Utah Mammoth 3-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Jankowski's goal at 2:48 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 4.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were ARI 28, CGY 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 41 of 44 (.932), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Smith (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Mark Jankowski (2 G), 3. Sam Bennett (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Smith28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Jankowski2 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Bennett2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI0160507028
CGYCGY014113217344

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    2:48

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    10:19
  2. CGY
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +3 pts
    0-3
    12:11

Penalties

ARI 2 PIM·CGY 4 PIM

1st

  • 4:15ARIBrendan Perlini · Interferencedrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 18:47CGYDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min

2nd

  • 14:53CGYTroy Brouwer · Cross checkingdrawn by Brad Richardson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalARI goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Jankowski, 2nd 2:48 — CGY 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.56S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.51S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.26M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.20M. Stajan · Missed · xG 0.17M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.16M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.15J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.15M. Backlund · Goal · xG 0.14M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.14J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.12M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.10M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.10M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.08S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.08M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.07J. Jagr · On goal · xG 0.06T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.04M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Jagr · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Jagr · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01J. Jagr · On goal · xG 0.00S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 4.1 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsCGY
1.80 G
All situations
3 G4.1
1.50 G
Even strength
3 G3.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI17%83%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.76 – 3.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
44
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
14
14
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
5
6
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23O. Ekman-LarssonD000-120.05000—26:27
55J. DemersD000-120.04000—24:15
33A. GoligoskiD000-130.05010—23:09
21D. StepanC000020.240204720:21
2L. SchennD000-110.05410—19:15
9C. KellerR000-120.08010—19:00
16M. DomiC000-140.42000017:37
18C. DvorakC000-120.190004716:56
36C. FischerR000-100.05210—16:31
8T. RiederL000020.05100—15:24
44K. ConnautonD000-110.02120—14:46
11B. PerliniL000-100.00002—13:54
20D. StromeC000-120.16000013:42
34Z. RinaldoC000030.06200012:26
48J. MartinookL000-100.06210—12:01
15B. RichardsonR000-120.240208011:43
25N. CousinsC000-100.002204010:40
39J. HanleyD000-100.04010—09:53
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31S. Wedgewood(L)44413.9324.13+1.1360:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).