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Oilers at Lightning
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
1
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸3
FinalTV SUN, SNW·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-1. The Oilers scored first; the Lightning answered. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Hedman's goal at 15:12 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 39% to 54%. Expected goals were close — EDM 3.3, TBL 3.4; shots on goal were EDM 30, TBL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Al Montoya stopped 37 of 40 (.925); Louis Domingue stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Louis Domingue (29 saves, .967), 2. Nikita Kucherov (2 G), 3. Victor Hedman (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    L. Domingue29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    V. Hedman1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM1808014130
TBLTBL116114110340

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    T. Rattie(2)
    D. Nurse (16), A. Larsson (7)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    0:14
  2. TBL
    V. Hedman(12)
    B. Point (31)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    15:12

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(35)PPG
    S. Stamkos (56)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    2:24

3rd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(36)
    S. Stamkos (57), J. Miller (32)
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    1-3
    11:34

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·TBL 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:51EDMRyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 12:21EDMJujhar Khaira · Hookingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min

2nd

  • 1:36EDMAndrej Sekera · Trippingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min
  • 5:06TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Michael Cammalleri2 min
  • 12:54TBLYanni Gourde · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 5:56TBLYanni Gourde · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Benning2 min
  • 11:53TBLYanni Gourde · Delaying game face off violationdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 13:25TBLAlex Killorn · High stickingdrawn by Oscar Klefbom2 min
  • 17:33EDMEthan Bear · Hookingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalEDM goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Victor Hedman, 1st 15:12 — TBL 39% → 54%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.24N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.14B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12B. Point · Missed · xG 0.12J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.09B. Point · Missed · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.08D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.08Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.07T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.07A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.06A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.05T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.04B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.03C. Conacher · On goal · xG 0.03D. Girardi · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.02D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01C. Conacher · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.01D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.00T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 3.4 xG · 59 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsTBL
3.31 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.41 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
1.70 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 106 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM48%52%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.26 – 3.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsTBL
30
Shots on goal
40
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
15
Hits
23
14
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD000050.20000—25:21
29L. DraisaitlC000040.500107125:17
97C. McDavidC000040.350003824:16
25D. NurseD011-100.00240—21:52
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000040.56010021:08
74E. BearD000-100.04012—20:51
6A. LarssonD011000.03320—20:31
18R. StromeC000050.361024318:53
83M. BenningD000000.09200—13:57
8T. RattieR101030.09000—13:27
91D. CaggiulaL000-100.16000—12:54
16J. KhairaL000-100.001221412:12
27M. LucicL000010.0230010012:09
98J. PuljujarviR000-110.09100—12:04
13M. CammalleriL000010.73110—11:47
26I. PakarinenR000000.00010—10:32
58A. SlepyshevL000020.10100—10:23
2A. SekeraD000000.00012—06:54
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Montoya(L)40373.9253.41+0.4158:44

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).