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Lightning at Oilers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
FinalTV SUN, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 6-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 2:33 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were TBL 34, EDM 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.7 goals below expected; Cam Talbot stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (4 G, 1 A), 2. Leon Draisaitl (1 G, 2 A), 3. Ryan Strome (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid4 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    R. Strome2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL11104119234
EDMEDM21321329635

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(18)PPG
    R. Strome (14), O. Klefbom (9)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    0-1
    1:48
  2. TBL
    A. Killorn(8)
    Y. Gourde (19)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    9:42
  3. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(13)PPG
    R. Strome (15), C. McDavid (40)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    1-2
    17:24

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(19)
    L. Draisaitl (31), M. Benning (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    2:33
  2. EDM
    I. Pakarinen(1)
    A. Slepyshev (3), M. Letestu (9)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    12:59

3rd period

  1. TBL
    Y. Gourde(19)PPG
    T. Johnson (23)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    1:54
  2. EDM
    C. McDavid(20)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.27win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    6:55
  3. EDM
    C. McDavid(21)
    L. Draisaitl (32), M. Cammalleri (12)
    backhandxG 0.13
    2-6
    13:49

Penalties

TBL 10 PIM·EDM 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:21TBLNikita Kucherov · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 16:22TBLSteven Stamkos · Trippingdrawn by Kris Russell2 min
  • 19:48EDMLeon Draisaitl · Interferencedrawn by Cory Conacher2 min

2nd

  • 10:07TBLJake Dotchin · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 16:19TBLVladislav Namestnikov · Delaying game face off violation2 min
  • 16:30TBLVictor Hedman · Slashingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 16:30EDMLeon Draisaitl · Slashingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min

3rd

  • 0:48EDMRyan Strome · Holdingdrawn by Cory Conacher2 min
  • 11:07EDMJujhar Khaira · Holdingdrawn by Cory Conacher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalTBL goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 2:33 — EDM 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.27R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.17D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.14C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.13D. Caggiula · On goal · xG 0.12M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.12J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.12D. Caggiula · Missed · xG 0.10L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.10M. Letestu · On goal · xG 0.10M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.10C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.09I. Pakarinen · Goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.09C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.08M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.08C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.07J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.07J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.06C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.05B. Davidson · Missed · xG 0.05C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.04L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.04R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04I. Pakarinen · Missed · xG 0.04M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.04J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.03L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.03M. Cammalleri · On goal · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03I. Pakarinen · On goal · xG 0.03O. Klefbom · On goal · xG 0.03A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.03I. Pakarinen · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02I. Pakarinen · Missed · xG 0.02A. Sekera · On goal · xG 0.02B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.02B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Letestu · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.01
EDM6 G · 3.3 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsEDM
2.52 G
All situations
6 G3.3
1.71 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
0.91 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL37%63%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsEDM
34
Shots on goal
35
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
37
Hits
32
11
Blocked shots
19
14
Giveaways
17
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD000-160.15322—21:45
63M. PecaC000-130.074106220:03
6A. StralmanD000-210.01330—18:50
37Y. GourdeC112+120.500003318:09
17A. KillornL101030.42510—17:33
21B. PointC000040.360105717:28
91S. StamkosC000-200.002026317:27
9T. JohnsonC011020.06010017:13
86N. KucherovR000-260.59002—16:42
55B. CoburnD000000.00210—15:51
90V. NamestnikovC000-200.012023315:42
62A. SustrD000020.05000—15:42
24R. CallahanR000-100.00200—14:41
98M. SergachevD000-120.05100—14:38
59J. DotchinD000-110.01412—14:28
14C. KunitzL000-110.17400—13:25
29S. KoekkoekD000-110.08400—13:19
89C. ConacherC000-100.00100011:34
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)26224.8462.27-1.7340:00
70L. Domingue972.7780.99-1.0120:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).