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Red Wings at Avalanche
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
1
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV FS-D, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Comeau's goal at 14:38 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.1 to 2.3; shots on goal were DET 38, COL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jared Coreau stopped 26 of 31 (.839), 2.7 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Semyon Varlamov (37 saves, .974), 3. Gabriel Landeskog (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    S. Varlamov37 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET05116017138
COLCOL21218211531

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(24)
    N. MacKinnon (51), N. Zadorov (13)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:58
  2. COL
    B. Comeau(12)
    C. Soderberg (19), M. Nieto (9)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    14:38

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(37)
    G. Landeskog (31), M. Rantanen (51)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    11:14
  2. DET
    J. Abdelkader(12)
    M. Frk (11), L. Glendening (8)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    12:38

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(38)
    B. Comeau (19), G. Landeskog (32)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.09win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    7:09
  2. COL
    T. Barrie(11)PPG
    S. Girard (17), M. Rantanen (52)
    slapxG 0.08
    1-5
    16:26

Penalties

DET 18 PIM·COL 6 PIM

2nd

  • 3:28COLNikita Zadorov · Holdingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min
  • 18:30DETAnthony Mantha · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min

3rd

  • 0:54COLPatrik Nemeth · Hookingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 3:18DETDarren Helm · High stickingdrawn by Patrik Nemeth2 min
  • 15:28DETMike Green · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 15:34DETJustin Abdelkader · Cross checkingdrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
  • 16:26DETJustin Abdelkader · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:52COLSven Andrighetto · High stickingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalDET goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Comeau, 1st 14:38 — COL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.26G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.15M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09S. Andrighetto · Missed · xG 0.09M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.09N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.09B. Comeau · Goal · xG 0.08T. Barrie · Goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.07A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03D. Warsofsky · On goal · xG 0.03T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.03T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.02D. Warsofsky · Missed · xG 0.02J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02P. Nemeth · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.01S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.01J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 2.3 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCOL
3.11 G
All situations
5 G2.3
2.21 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET63%37%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.03 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCOL
38
Shots on goal
31
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
1/4
18
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
17
1
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65D. DeKeyserD000-110.02320—22:39
71D. LarkinC000030.182006122:19
25M. GreenD000-130.09322—21:50
55N. KronwallD000+120.08010—20:15
43D. HelmC000-110.16112018:56
83T. DaleyD000-130.04000—18:37
3N. JensenD000-130.05130—18:11
39A. ManthaR000040.38202—17:36
52J. EricssonD000-310.01100—15:09
41L. GlendeningC011+120.280206415:05
14G. NyquistR000-420.20000—14:50
51F. NielsenC000020.261005814:35
40H. ZetterbergC000-430.371106714:32
59T. BertuzziL000-310.15020—14:01
8J. AbdelkaderL101+130.292012—13:34
42M. FrkR011+110.06100—11:55
72A. AthanasiouC000020.091004010:23
77E. SvechnikovL000010.37000—08:43
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31J. Coreau(L)31265.8392.27-2.7360:00

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).