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Islanders at Capitals
NHL

New York Islanders at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NHLN-US, MSG+·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 6-3. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nicklas Backstrom's goal at 7:12 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.7 to 2.8; shots on goal were NYI 25, WSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 0.8 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Alex Chiasson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jakub Vrana (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Chiasson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Vrana1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0419212325
WSHWSH110210311631

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(15)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    14:33

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(19)PPG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    5:30
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.18win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    7:12
  3. WSH
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    17:55

3rd period

  1. WSH
    J. Vrana (12), D. Orlov (20)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    1:46
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.18win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    10:56
  3. NYI
    B. Nelson(17)PPG
    J. Eberle (26), R. Pulock (17)
    wristxG 0.16
    2-5
    13:52
  4. NYI
    J. Tavares(32)PPG
    M. Barzal (53), R. Pulock (18)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    3-5
    16:14
  5. WSH
    L. Eller(17)EN
    wristxG 0.47win prob +1 pts
    3-6
    18:02

Penalties

NYI 41 PIM·WSH 15 PIM

1st

  • 1:04NYIJohnny Boychuk · Hookingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 4:13NYICasey Cizikas · High stickingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 14:00NYIThomas Hickey · Hookingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 19:30WSHAlex Ovechkin · Broken stick2 min

2nd

  • 3:45WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 6:08WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Ross Johnston5 min
  • 6:08NYIRoss Johnston · Instigatordrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 6:08NYIRoss Johnston · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 6:08NYIRoss Johnston · Misconduct10 min
  • 6:08NYIRoss Johnston · Game misconduct10 min
  • 6:19NYICal Clutterbuck · Interferencedrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 8:30WSHDmitry Orlov · Roughingdrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min
  • 19:54NYIThomas Hickey · Slashingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min

3rd

  • 7:23NYITanner Fritz · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 12:05WSHDmitry Orlov · Slashingdrawn by Tanner Fritz2 min
  • 14:02NYIAnthony Beauvillier · Cross checkingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min
  • 15:12WSHAndre Burakovsky · Holdingdrawn by Thomas Hickey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalNYI goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Nicklas Backstrom, 2nd 7:12 — WSH 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.47D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.30E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.22E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.19A. Chiasson · On goal · xG 0.19N. Backstrom · Goal · xG 0.18N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.18T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.18J. Vrana · Goal · xG 0.18A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.17T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.17A. Chiasson · Goal · xG 0.17A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.14N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.12A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.12A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.11T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.11J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.11D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.09N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.09J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.08A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.08M. Niskanen · Goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Chiasson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.05D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.04L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.04M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · Missed · xG 0.03J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.03T. Boyd · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Orpik · Missed · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.01C. Djoos · Missed · xG 0.01N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH6 G · 4.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsWSH
2.83 G
All situations
5 G4.7
1.50 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
1.13 G
Power play
3 G1.5
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI31%69%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 4.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsWSH
25
Shots on goal
31
45%
Faceoffs
55%
3/5
Power play
3/8
41
Penalty minutes
15
16
Hits
15
12
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
50A. PelechD000-110.05240—21:41
2N. LeddyD000-100.03100—19:52
91J. TavaresC101-150.660105819:43
6R. PulockD022-140.42310—19:11
55J. BoychukD000000.00002—18:28
12J. BaileyR000-210.12000—17:42
27A. LeeL000-330.27200—17:25
13M. BarzalC112-140.56100017:16
88B. DavidsonD000-100.00110—17:16
29B. NelsonC101-120.422104516:35
72A. BeauvillierR000000.140125015:59
7J. EberleR011-200.05000—15:53
56T. FritzC000000.001122515:48
16A. LaddL000020.04000—15:29
14T. HickeyD000-100.03014—15:02
53C. CizikasC000-120.041125314:10
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.02202—06:50
52R. JohnstonL000000.000027—03:36
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)30255.8334.19-0.8158:35

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).