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Capitals at Islanders
NHL

Washington Capitals at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸7
New York Islanders
3
FinalTV MSG+, NBCSWA·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Islanders 7-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Capitals led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andre Burakovsky's goal at 3:12 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were WSH 22, NYI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 35 of 38 (.921); Christopher Gibson stopped 7 of 12 (.583), 4.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeny Kuznetsov (3 A), 2. T.J. Oshie (2 G), 3. Nicklas Backstrom (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov3 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Oshie2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH392825722
NYINYI212014112338

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(16)
    T. Fritz (1), R. Pulock (16)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:19
  2. WSH
    L. Eller(16)
    J. Vrana (11), B. Connolly (10)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    10:32
  3. WSH
    T. Oshie(13)
    A. Burakovsky (10), N. Backstrom (35)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    11:29
  4. NYI
    A. Ladd(10)
    M. Barzal (52), J. Eberle (25)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    2-2
    12:29
  5. WSH
    D. Orlov(9)
    E. Kuznetsov (46), T. Wilson (20)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    3-2
    17:17

2nd period

  1. WSH
    A. Burakovsky(9)
    J. Jerabek (4), M. Niskanen (21)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    3:12
  2. WSH
    N. Backstrom(18)PPG
    E. Kuznetsov (47), D. Orlov (18)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    5-2
    10:22

3rd period

  1. WSH
    J. Carlson(13)
    A. Ovechkin (33), E. Kuznetsov (48)
    wristxG 0.15
    6-2
    15:41
  2. NYI
    R. Pulock(7)
    T. Fritz (2)
    slapxG 0.03
    6-3
    16:33
  3. WSH
    T. Oshie(14)EN
    D. Orlov (19), N. Backstrom (36)
    wristxG 0.58
    7-3
    18:06

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

1st

  • 12:49WSHMichal Kempny · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

2nd

  • 0:29WSHMatt Niskanen · Interferencedrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min
  • 8:35NYICal Clutterbuck · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 18:08WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalWSH goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Andre Burakovsky, 2nd 3:12 — WSH 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.15A. Ladd · Goal · xG 0.15A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.13J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.13C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.13J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.12C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.12J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.11A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.10J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.09J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.09A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08T. Fritz · On goal · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.03R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.03R. Pulock · Goal · xG 0.03J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hickey · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ladd · Missed · xG 0.01J. Boychuk · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.9 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYI
2.36 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.65 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH28%72%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.70 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYI
22
Shots on goal
38
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
12
Hits
16
17
Blocked shots
9
7
Giveaways
15
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2M. NiskanenD011+300.00032—22:28
74J. CarlsonD101+130.21110—22:12
9D. OrlovD123+220.09010—20:54
92E. KuznetsovC033+110.131005019:28
44B. OrpikD000-200.00000—19:22
8A. OvechkinL011+220.25000—18:44
6M. KempnyD000+220.09042—18:19
77T. OshieR202+330.752005017:14
19N. BackstromC123+320.240106217:01
43T. WilsonR011+110.02312—16:57
25D. Smith-PellyR000000.00210—15:55
28J. JerabekD011010.03210—15:32
83J. BeagleC000-100.000105413:32
20L. EllerC101-110.110002313:03
65A. BurakovskyL112+220.1301010012:57
18C. StephensonC000-100.00110012:26
13J. VranaL011020.24000—09:38
10B. ConnollyR011000.0001010008:18
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)38353.9212.94-0.0660:00

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).