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Rangers at Lightning
NHL

New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV SUN, MSG·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Rangers 5-3. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Erne's goal at 7:50 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were NYR 30, TBL 45. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.7 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Anthony Cirelli (1 G, 2 A), 2. Chris Kunitz (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mikhail Sergachev (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    C. Kunitz1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    M. Sergachev2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR05115210330
TBLTBL22131509545

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    C. Paquette(3)
    C. Kunitz (12), R. Callahan (11)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:31
  2. TBL
    A. Erne(3)
    A. Cirelli (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:50

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(2)
    M. Sergachev (24), A. Killorn (28)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:53
  2. NYR
    R. Spooner(11)
    K. Hayes (15), J. Fast (12)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    7:10
  3. TBL
    C. Kunitz(12)
    A. Cirelli (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    12:35
  4. TBL
    T. Johnson(19)
    N. Kucherov (54), M. Sergachev (25)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +3 pts
    1-5
    17:30

3rd period

  1. NYR
    M. Zuccarello(11)
    R. Spooner (23)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    3:27
  2. NYR
    K. Hayes(19)
    R. O'Gara (1), R. Spooner (24)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    3-5
    17:41

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·TBL 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:14NYRChris Kreider · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 11:20NYRVladislav Namestnikov · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 17:28TBLMikhail Sergachev · Interferencedrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

2nd

  • 3:05NYRJohn Gilmour · Holdingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 7:36TBLRyan Callahan · Trippingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 8:27NYRMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Chris Kunitz2 min
  • 15:04TBLSteven Stamkos · Holdingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYR goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Adam Erne, 1st 7:50 — TBL 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.19A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.18T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.15C. Paquette · Goal · xG 0.14V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.13B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12A. Erne · Goal · xG 0.11Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kunitz · Goal · xG 0.10T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.10V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.09C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.09J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.08T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.06V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.06N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.05M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dotchin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.04B. Point · On goal · xG 0.04V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03B. Point · On goal · xG 0.03D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.02S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dotchin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Dotchin · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.02R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.02D. Girardi · Missed · xG 0.02J. Dotchin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.01B. Point · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.01A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.01A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL5 G · 3.1 xG · 56 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTBL
2.53 G
All situations
5 G3.1
2.13 G
Even strength
5 G2.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR41%59%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTBL
30
Shots on goal
45
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
10
7
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44N. PionkD000-140.15430—24:23
36M. ZuccarelloR101+150.44002—20:23
18M. StaalD000-110.00200—19:47
93M. ZibanejadC000000.001003719:00
58J. GilmourD000-230.10022—18:55
13K. HayesR112030.221005318:48
77T. DeAngeloD000+110.03010—18:43
76B. SkjeiD000-230.13230—17:58
90V. NamestnikovC000010.272123117:27
26J. VeseyL000020.27300—17:09
89P. BuchnevichL000-110.12120—16:50
23R. SpoonerC123+120.241002516:22
17J. FastR011-110.08000—15:46
46R. O'GaraD011+100.01020—15:19
28P. CareyC000-200.223106713:23
51D. DesharnaisC000-220.140004011:24
8C. McLeodL000-210.06210—09:56
20C. KreiderL000000.05002—02:23
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(L)31274.8712.30-1.7032:35
40A. Georgiev14131.9290.77-0.2325:29

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).