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New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning

Final/OTTV SUN, MSG·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-1 in overtime, J.T. Miller scoring at 1:19. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.T. Miller's goal at 1:19 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 35, TBL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 35 (.943). Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (33 saves, .943), 2. Henrik Lundqvist (27 saves, .964), 3. J.T. Miller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy33 saves, .943
  2. ★★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist27 saves, .964
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Miller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR1130120911235
TBLTBL081160400128

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.19win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    18:34

2nd period

  1. TBL
    Y. Gourde(3)SHG
    wristxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    1-1
    11:00

Overtime

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.21win prob +51 pts
    2-1
    1:19

Penalties

NYR 16 PIM·TBL 16 PIM

1st

  • 12:49NYRKevin Shattenkirk · Holdingdrawn by Gabriel Dumont2 min
  • 17:32NYRMats Zuccarello · Slashingdrawn by Victor Hedman2 min
  • 17:32TBLVictor Hedman · Roughingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 9:38NYRSteven Kampfer · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Callahan5 min
  • 9:38TBLRyan Callahan · Fightingdrawn by Steven Kampfer5 min
  • 10:01TBLVladislav Namestnikov · Cross checkingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 3:01TBLJT Brown · Fightingdrawn by Steven Kampfer5 min
  • 3:01NYRSteven Kampfer · Fightingdrawn by JT Brown5 min
  • 3:01TBLAlex Killorn · Slashingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min
  • 5:04NYRRyan McDonagh · Roughingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYR goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: J.T. Miller, OT 1:19 — NYR 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.30Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.24N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.21Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.13A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.11N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.08G. Dumont · Missed · xG 0.08R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Brown · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.06G. Dumont · On goal · xG 0.05A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.03A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.03A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coburn · Missed · xG 0.02B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.02J. Dotchin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.01C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dotchin · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL1 G · 2.9 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTBL
2.32 G
All situations
1 G2.9
2.32 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR40%60%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.33 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTBL
35
Shots on goal
28
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
16
18
Hits
15
15
Blocked shots
11
10
Giveaways
7
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22K. ShattenkirkD011030.19022—22:36
76B. SkjeiD011+110.01040—21:13
27R. McDonaghD000+130.15112—21:01
93M. ZibanejadC011010.130106220:45
55N. HoldenD000010.02110—20:11
18M. StaalD000010.07210—18:18
36M. ZuccarelloR000020.07002—18:13
13K. HayesR000040.160005517:21
61R. NashL000020.14110—16:46
89P. BuchnevichL000-110.14010—16:09
20C. KreiderL101030.23100—15:28
47S. KampferD000020.062110—14:28
17J. FastR000010.12310—14:14
40M. GrabnerL000040.36300—14:06
26J. VeseyL000010.05100—12:50
10J. MillerC101+140.410007512:06
24B. NievesC000000.003104511:49
51D. DesharnaisC000010.050005010:23
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(W)28271.9642.92+1.9261:19

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).