Skip to content
Stars at Predators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
0
Nashville Predators
▸2
FinalTV FS-SW+, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Dallas Stars 2-0. The Predators scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Hartman's goal at 5:33 of the third period, which took the Predators' chances from 52% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.7 to 1.4; shots on goal were DAL 26, NSH 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Kari Lehtonen stopped 32 of 33 (.970), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pekka Rinne (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Ryan Hartman (1 G), 3. Mike Fisher.

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    P. Rinne26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NSH
    R. Hartman1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    M. Fisher

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL0907010026
NSHNSH09014211234

Scoring

2 goals

3rd period

  1. NSH
    R. Hartman(10)
    A. Watson (3), C. Sissons (16)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +27 pts
    0-1
    5:33
  2. NSH
    N. Bonino(10)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.42win prob +5 pts
    0-2
    19:46

Penalties

DAL 12 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:40NSHMike Fisher · Hookingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 6:50DALMattias Janmark · Trippingdrawn by Alexei Emelin2 min
  • 17:09NSHAustin Watson · Cross checkingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min

2nd

  • 0:44DALTyler Seguin · Slashingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 2:51NSHScott Hartnell · Hookingdrawn by Greg Pateryn2 min
  • 7:57DALGreg Pateryn · Holdingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 10:52NSHRyan Hartman · Slashingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 13:00DALJulius Honka · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 15:33DALAntoine Roussel · Roughingdrawn by Nick Bonino2 min
  • 15:33NSHNick Bonino · Roughingdrawn by Antoine Roussel2 min

3rd

  • 6:00DALDan Hamhuis · Trippingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalDAL goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Hartman, 3rd 5:33 — NSH 52% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.42C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.16K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.15C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.15F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.13R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.12R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.08C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07M. Fisher · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.06N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.04P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.04R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.04C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.04P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.03R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Hartnell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 2.7 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNSH
1.40 G
All situations
1 G2.7
0.80 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.40 G
Power play
0 G1.0
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL31%69%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.36 – 2.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNSH
26
Shots on goal
34
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/4
Power play
0/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
16
13
Blocked shots
11
15
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD000-120.09010—24:16
2D. HamhuisD000030.06202—23:02
13M. JanmarkC000-100.010126020:34
29G. PaterynD000010.05212—20:26
14J. BennL000-240.210005020:22
91T. SeguinC000-230.130024120:13
28S. JohnsD000-110.12250—20:08
47A. RadulovR000-120.08210—19:47
33M. MethotD000010.02320—17:48
17D. ShoreC000020.150004417:09
90J. SpezzaC000-130.231003614:10
25B. RitchieR000-110.01300—13:34
18T. PitlickC000010.01110012:58
21A. RousselL000010.00312—11:43
6J. HonkaD000-100.01002—10:05
40R. ElieL000010.06000—08:11
16J. DickinsonC000000.112004307:52
46G. SmithC000000.00000006:37
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lehtonen(L)33321.9702.31+1.3159:05

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).