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Stars at Predators
NHL

Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV FS-SW, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Dallas Stars 4-1. The Stars scored first; the Predators answered. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Filip Forsberg's goal at 6:21 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.6 to 2.9; shots on goal were DAL 31, NSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Ben Bishop stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Samuel Girard (1 G, 1 A), 2. Filip Forsberg (1 G, 1 A), 3. Pekka Rinne (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    S. Girard1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    P. Rinne30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL11301008131
NSHNSH010210211431

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    J. Benn(1)PPG
    J. Spezza (3), J. Klingberg (3)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    8:04

2nd period

  1. NSH
    S. Girard(1)
    P. Subban (5), C. McLeod (1)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    3:27
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(4)PPG
    S. Girard (2), R. Johansen (4)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    6:21

3rd period

  1. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(2)
    F. Forsberg (2)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    15:09
  2. NSH
    P. Subban(1)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.51win prob +1 pts
    1-4
    18:06

Penalties

DAL 14 PIM·NSH 7 PIM

1st

  • 5:31DALJason Spezza · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 7:22NSHPekka Rinne · Delaying game smothering puck2 min
  • 9:21DALMartin Hanzal · Interferencedrawn by Yannick Weber5 min

2nd

  • 3:34NSHCody McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Stephen Johns5 min
  • 3:34DALStephen Johns · Fightingdrawn by Cody McLeod5 min
  • 5:12DALJason Spezza · Trippingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalDAL goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Filip Forsberg, 2nd 6:21 — NSH 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.64P. Subban · Goal · xG 0.51F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.28V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.18N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.14S. Hartnell · On goal · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.10K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.09S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.07V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.06M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.05C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.05S. Girard · Goal · xG 0.04R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.04P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.04S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.03C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Emelin · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01P. Aberg · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.01P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.01P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 3.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsNSH
2.91 G
All situations
3 G3.6
2.20 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL59%41%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.82 – 2.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsNSH
31
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/1
Power play
1/3
14
Penalty minutes
7
22
Hits
16
9
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD011-240.11000—24:53
23E. LindellD000-110.02010—22:33
33M. MethotD000010.02400—20:04
47A. RadulovR000-210.27000—18:27
91T. SeguinC000-250.163005518:21
5J. OleksiakD000-100.03010—18:19
14J. BennL101-250.573006718:04
10M. HanzalC000-120.382056717:41
13M. JanmarkC000020.23000017:37
28S. JohnsD000010.06245—16:53
17D. ShoreC000020.10010015:35
6J. HonkaD000-110.01010—14:37
25B. RitchieR000-110.16300—12:58
90J. SpezzaC011010.190044612:45
12R. FaksaC000-110.022102212:04
21A. RousselL000-100.11100—11:41
18T. PitlickC000-100.171003310:51
40R. ElieL000030.27100—10:27
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30B. Bishop(L)30273.9002.37-0.6358:01

Season series

NSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).