New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the New Jersey Devils 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Teuvo Teravainen's goal at 9:37 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 52% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were NJD 26, CAR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Cam Ward stopped 25 of 26 (.962). Three stars: 1. Teuvo Teravainen (1 G), 2. Cam Ward (25 saves, .962), 3. Derek Ryan (1 G).
Three stars
- ★T. Teravainen1 G

- ★★C. Ward25 saves, .962

- ★★★D. Ryan1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals2nd period
0-111:50
1-119:27
3rd period
1-29:37
1-319:38
Penalties
1st
- 16:22
Justin Faulk · Holdingdrawn by Brian Boyle2 min
2nd
- 6:34
Pavel Zacha · Hookingdrawn by Phillip Di Giuseppe2 min
- 19:00
Derek Ryan · Holdingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
3rd
- 9:57
Lucas Wallmark · Trippingdrawn by Michael Grabner2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Teuvo Teravainen, 3rd 9:37 — 52% → 83%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.41 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.3
- 1.00 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.7
- 0.41 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.1
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 1.82
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 26
- Shots on goal
- 30
- 40%
- Faceoffs
- 60%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 40
- Hits
- 29
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 6
- Giveaways
- 14
- 15
- Takeaways
- 26
Box score
every player line
Season series
NJD leads 3-1
2@
5Final
3@
2OTFinal
1@
3this game
3@
4Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
