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New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes

Final/OTTV FS-CR, MSG+·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2 in overtime, Taylor Hall scoring at 4:37. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Taylor Hall's goal at 4:37 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.1 to 1.8; shots on goal were NJD 21, CAR 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 40 of 42 (.952), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Cam Ward stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jeff Skinner (1 G), 2. Taylor Hall (1 G), 3. Keith Kinkaid (40 saves, .952).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Skinner1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    T. Hall1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    K. Kinkaid40 saves, .952

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NJDNJD19160313321
CARCAR01311511301242

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.06win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    10:56

2nd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    6:05
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.20win prob +23 pts
    2-1
    15:33

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Slavin (13), B. Pesce (12)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +44 pts
    2-2
    18:42

Overtime

  1. NJD
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    4:37

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 10:27CARBrett Pesce · Holdingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 15:22CARJaccob Slavin · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

2nd

  • 7:44CARJaccob Slavin · Cross checkingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 8:12NJDJesper Bratt · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min
  • 13:23NJDJohn Moore · Holdingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 16:34NJDNick Lappin · Hookingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min

3rd

  • 11:23CARJeff Skinner · Interferencedrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 11:23NJDPavel Zacha · High stickingdrawn by Jeff Skinner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNJD goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Taylor Hall, OT 4:37 — NJD 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.31S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.27S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.21L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.21T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.19V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.18T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.18E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.17T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.16B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.16E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.16E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.15E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.12N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.11T. Teravainen · Goal · xG 0.10J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.10S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.09J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.09S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.08E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06L. Wallmark · On goal · xG 0.06J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.05V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.04V. Rask · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.04J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.04P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.04B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.04J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.02H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.02J. Nordstrom · Missed · xG 0.02D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.01B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.01J. Nordstrom · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00V. Rask · On goal · xG 0.00J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 4.1 xG · 61 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsCAR
1.83 G
All situations
2 G4.1
1.42 G
Even strength
2 G3.2
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD17%83%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 3.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsCAR
21
Shots on goal
42
28%
Faceoffs
72%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
15
16
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2J. MooreD011+120.05042—23:55
45S. VatanenD022-110.14430—23:01
6A. GreeneD000-110.01140—23:00
28D. SeversonD000010.03110—20:40
9T. HallL101040.39010—19:34
19T. ZajacC000010.040002219:24
40B. ColemanL000-120.26510—18:13
12B. LovejoyD000000.00010—17:20
21K. PalmieriC011+110.02110017:10
37P. ZachaC101+110.191024016:31
13N. HischierC101-210.150003116:24
63J. BrattL000030.31002—15:21
25M. MuellerD000+100.00110—15:02
18D. StaffordR000000.00300—14:50
11B. BoyleC000000.005103314:05
23S. NoesenR000-110.1510010014:04
56B. PietilaL000010.04400—09:30
36N. LappinR000010.01202—08:24
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1K. Kinkaid(W)42402.9524.07+2.0764:00

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).