New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins
Recap
written from the game dataThe New Jersey Devils beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 5:01 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 38, PIT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 36 of 38 (.947); Casey DeSmith stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A), 2. Damon Severson (2 A), 3. Sidney Crosby (1 G).
Three stars
- ★T. Hall1 G, 1 A

- ★★D. Severson2 A

- ★★★S. Crosby1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-18:17
1-112:19
2nd period
2-14:25
2-217:02
3rd period
3-25:01
Penalties
1st
- 16:53
Miles Wood · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Casey DeSmith2 min
- 16:53
Kris Letang · Cross checkingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
- 19:38
Ben Lovejoy · Hookingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
2nd
- 3:00
Kris Letang · Slashingdrawn by Michael Grabner2 min
- 6:04
Brian Boyle · Holdingdrawn by Matt Hunwick2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 3rd 5:01 — 48% → 75%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.23 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.5
- 2.52 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.2
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.43
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 38
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 43%
- Faceoffs
- 57%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 0/2
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 32
- Hits
- 26
- 20
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 3
- Giveaways
- 12
- 6
- Takeaways
- 12
Box score
every player line
Season series
NJD leads 3-1
1@
3Final
3@
2this game
4@
3OTFinal
4@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
