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New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV ATTSN-PT, MSG+·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Stefan Noesen's goal at 5:01 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.2 to 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 38, PIT 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 36 of 38 (.947); Casey DeSmith stopped 35 of 38 (.921). Three stars: 1. Taylor Hall (1 G, 1 A), 2. Damon Severson (2 A), 3. Sidney Crosby (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Hall1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    D. Severson2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD11311619338
PITPIT11717014238

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    8:17
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:19

2nd period

  1. NJD
    T. Hall(27)PPG
    snapxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    4:25
  2. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +22 pts
    2-2
    17:02

3rd period

  1. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.28win prob +28 pts
    3-2
    5:01

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·PIT 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:53NJDMiles Wood · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Casey DeSmith2 min
  • 16:53PITKris Letang · Cross checkingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 19:38NJDBen Lovejoy · Hookingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min

2nd

  • 3:00PITKris Letang · Slashingdrawn by Michael Grabner2 min
  • 6:04NJDBrian Boyle · Holdingdrawn by Matt Hunwick2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalNJD goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Stefan Noesen, 3rd 5:01 — NJD 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.23E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.15E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.14S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.14P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.11B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.09P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.09R. Sheahan · Missed · xG 0.09S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.07E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.04M. Hunwick · Goal · xG 0.04D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.02P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hunwick · On goal · xG 0.02O. Maatta · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hunwick · On goal · xG 0.01J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hagelin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 2.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsPIT
3.23 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.52 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD56%44%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsPIT
38
Shots on goal
38
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/1
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
4
32
Hits
26
20
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45S. VatanenD000-130.04220—27:14
6A. GreeneD011-100.06140—24:48
28D. SeversonD022+110.14300—19:52
19T. ZajacC022+120.121104219:35
9T. HallL112+130.22210—19:06
2J. MooreD000+130.09310—19:01
21K. PalmieriC101+150.35110018:38
40M. GrabnerL000+110.2320010017:32
37P. ZachaC000-150.532003816:35
13N. HischierC000+110.084105015:34
23S. NoesenR101+140.40300—15:32
12B. LovejoyD000020.04212—15:09
20B. ColemanL000-120.56240—13:50
8W. ButcherD000020.04020—13:11
44M. WoodL000-110.05102—12:23
63J. BrattL000-110.1501010009:16
11B. BoyleC000-120.152023008:52
18D. StaffordR000-100.00110—07:52
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1K. Kinkaid(W)38362.9472.48+0.4860:00

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).