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Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils

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Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-1. The Devils scored first and never trailed. The Devils led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Zajac's goal at 0:30 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.5 to 1.6; shots on goal were PIT 16, NJD 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 35 of 38 (.921); Keith Kinkaid stopped 15 of 16 (.938), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Zajac (2 G, 1 A), 2. Blake Coleman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Stefan Noesen (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Zajac2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    B. Coleman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    S. Noesen2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT060416116
NJDNJD01321619338

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NJD
    wristxG 0.14win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    0:30
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    3:05

3rd period

  1. PIT
    I. Cole (8), P. Kessel (40)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    6:16
  2. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    9:51

Penalties

PIT 11 PIM·NJD 7 PIM

1st

  • 1:34NJDMiles Wood · Hookingdrawn by Riley Sheahan2 min
  • 5:28PITJamie Oleksiak · Interferencedrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 13:26NJDStefan Noesen · Fightingdrawn by Ian Cole5 min
  • 13:26PITIan Cole · Fightingdrawn by Stefan Noesen5 min
  • 14:09PITKris Letang · Slashingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

2nd

  • 8:30PITJake Guentzel · Interferencedrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalPIT goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Travis Zajac, 2nd 0:30 — NJD 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.20T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.19S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.16T. Zajac · Goal · xG 0.14D. Stafford · On goal · xG 0.14M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.14P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.14S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.13N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.13B. Coleman · Goal · xG 0.12T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.11W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.10K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.10N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.09N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.09M. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.08T. Zajac · Goal · xG 0.08K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.08B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.08B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.07T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.05M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.05W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.05M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.04M. Mueller · Missed · xG 0.04S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.03M. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.03B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.02W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.02K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.02D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.02B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.01B. Lovejoy · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.01B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01
NJD3 G · 3.5 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNJD
1.61 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.41 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT19%81%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.56 – 3.44

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNJD
16
Shots on goal
38
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/1
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
18
Hits
21
17
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
10
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD000-210.00102—22:20
87S. CrosbyC000-320.080105321:38
4J. SchultzD000-100.14030—20:51
3O. MaattaD000-100.02230—20:32
81P. KesselR011010.15000—20:12
6J. OleksiakD000+100.00302—19:40
62C. HagelinL000+110.12100—18:29
17B. RustR000-220.14110—18:25
59J. GuentzelC000-110.30212018:10
28I. ColeD011+100.00015—18:07
15R. SheahanC000020.130203817:31
8B. DumoulinD000-220.04000—17:21
71E. MalkinC101+120.162004617:02
12D. SimonC000-100.0401010012:19
34T. KuhnhacklR000010.14210—12:04
37C. RowneyC000000.001004307:54
75R. ReavesR000000.00230—06:57
46Z. Aston-ReeseL000-110.11100—06:24
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(L)38353.9213.46+0.4658:04

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).