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Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV NHLN-US, FS-D·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Trevor Daley scoring at 4:54. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Daley's goal at 4:54 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.7 to 2.7; shots on goal were DET 34, NYR 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 36 of 38 (.947), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 31 of 34 (.912). Three stars: 1. Jimmy Howard (36 saves, .947), 2. Trevor Daley (1 G), 3. Ryan Spooner (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Howard36 saves, .947
  2. ★★
    DET
    T. Daley1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    R. Spooner2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET11111201011334
NYRNYR0131611900238

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    N. Jensen (13), D. Larkin (37)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    19:53

2nd period

  1. DET
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:31
  2. NYR
    J. Miller(13)PPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    7:51

3rd period

  1. NYR
    K. Hayes (14), R. Spooner (18)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    11:16

Overtime

  1. DET
    F. Nielsen (14), T. Tatar (12)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    4:54

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:05NYRDavid Desharnais · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 13:05DETDylan Larkin · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 5:55DETDavid Booth · Trippingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 12:32NYRJesper Fast · Chargingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 15:15NYRJohn Gilmour · Interferencedrawn by Frans Nielsen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalDET goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Trevor Daley, OT 4:54 — DET 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.25M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.24B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.20C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.19P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.19J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.18P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.16J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.12K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.11K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.11R. Spooner · Missed · xG 0.10C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.09R. Spooner · Missed · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.09P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.07J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.07J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.06K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.06K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.05C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.04J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.03V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02P. Carey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gilmour · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.01P. Carey · On goal · xG 0.01R. O'Gara · On goal · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.01M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 3.7 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYR
2.73 G
All situations
2 G3.7
2.53 G
Even strength
1 G3.3
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET36%64%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.67 – 3.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYR
34
Shots on goal
38
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
17
17
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
14
13
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65D. DeKeyserD000010.00220—23:41
83T. DaleyD101+210.24030—23:15
3N. JensenD011020.10010—22:16
14G. NyquistR000020.41000—20:00
40H. ZetterbergC000020.221103319:28
55N. KronwallD000010.06200—19:21
39A. ManthaR000000.160005018:06
71D. LarkinC011070.411024418:00
51F. NielsenC011+220.022105017:39
52J. EricssonD000+120.02000—17:39
43D. HelmC101+130.21010017:35
21T. TatarL011+130.2601010015:55
8J. AbdelkaderL000+110.011003315:11
41L. GlendeningC000000.002406415:01
72A. AthanasiouC101030.2420010014:18
61X. OuelletD000020.04200—13:32
59T. BertuzziL000010.08110—10:43
17D. BoothL000010.200222509:06
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(W)38362.9473.73+1.7364:54

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).