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Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers

Final/OTTV FS-D, MSG 2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Detroit Red Wings 2-1 in overtime, Mats Zuccarello scoring at 0:37. The Red Wings scored first; the Rangers answered. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 0:37 of overtime, which took the Rangers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 3.8 to 3.4; shots on goal were DET 41, NYR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Henrik Lundqvist (40 saves, .976), 2. Jimmy Howard (29 saves, .935), 3. Mats Zuccarello (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist40 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    DET
    J. Howard29 saves, .935
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Zuccarello1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET01701011400141
NYRNYR060161811231

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. DET
    T. Tatar(7)PPG
    slapxG 0.10win prob +26 pts
    1-0
    4:05
  2. NYR
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +32 pts
    1-1
    10:17

Overtime

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.22win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    0:37

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:27NYRBrendan Smith · Trippingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 14:25NYRBrendan Smith · Interferencedrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min

2nd

  • 7:07DETDarren Helm · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min

3rd

  • 2:07NYRMichael Grabner · Trippingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 10:39NYRJesper Fast · Boardingdrawn by Tomas Tatar2 min
  • 11:58DETDylan Larkin · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Henrik Lundqvist2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalDET goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, OT 0:37 — NYR 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.39J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.28M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.25M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.22C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.18M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.17B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.14J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.13B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.13S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.09N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.08J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.07P. Carey · On goal · xG 0.07J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.07M. Grabner · Missed · xG 0.07K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.06C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.06C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.04B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.03P. Carey · Missed · xG 0.03P. Carey · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.02J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 3.4 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYR
3.81 G
All situations
2 G3.4
3.00 G
Even strength
2 G3.4
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET58%42%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.74 – 3.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYR
41
Shots on goal
31
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
17
23
Blocked shots
15
15
Giveaways
19
9
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14G. NyquistR000030.40010—22:33
40H. ZetterbergC011020.221103721:58
71D. LarkinC000-140.550126020:40
25M. GreenD000-140.45010—20:36
52J. EricssonD000020.07130—20:31
55N. KronwallD011010.11010—19:07
21T. TatarL101-150.45220—19:03
3N. JensenD000020.09020—18:48
65D. DeKeyserD000-210.07120—17:00
41L. GlendeningC000-120.191405016:44
8J. AbdelkaderL000010.0221010016:34
39A. ManthaR000030.19100—16:30
72A. AthanasiouC000020.420005015:07
51F. NielsenC000-130.080004213:57
61X. OuelletD000020.15120—13:42
43D. HelmC000-130.10312012:54
23S. WilsonC000010.21300007:51
83T. DaleyD000000.01010—04:16
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(O)31292.9353.43+1.4360:37

Season series

DET leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).