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Sharks at Predators
NHL

San Jose Sharks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
San Jose Sharks
1
Nashville Predators
▸7
FinalTV FS-TN, NBCSCA·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the San Jose Sharks 7-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 15:57 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 4.0 to 3.1; shots on goal were SJS 34, NSH 46. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Aaron Dell stopped 39 of 46 (.848), 3.0 goals below expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 2.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Pekka Rinne (33 saves, .971), 2. Nick Bonino (1 G, 1 A), 3. Viktor Arvidsson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    P. Rinne33 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    NSH
    N. Bonino1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    V. Arvidsson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS010111013134
NSHNSH215112419746

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    N. Bonino(9)
    R. Josi (27), R. Ellis (10)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:55
  2. NSH
    S. Hartnell(10)
    N. Bonino (10), C. Jarnkrok (15)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:17

2nd period

  1. SJS
    L. Couture(25)
    K. Labanc (25), J. Braun (24)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    8:37
  2. NSH
    K. Fiala(19)
    P. Subban (32), R. Johansen (31)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    15:57

3rd period

  1. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(22)PPG
    P. Subban (33), C. Smith (18)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    3:49
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(8)
    R. Josi (28)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +1 pts
    1-5
    6:30
  3. NSH
    M. Ekholm(8)
    F. Forsberg (25), V. Arvidsson (20)
    snapxG 0.22
    1-6
    11:00
  4. NSH
    C. Jarnkrok(15)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06
    1-7
    17:51

Penalties

SJS 4 PIM·NSH 10 PIM

1st

  • 3:38NSHFilip Forsberg · Holdingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 16:42SJSBrenden Dillon · Boardingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min

2nd

  • 4:41NSHMiikka Salomaki · High stickingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 19:06NSHViktor Arvidsson · Hookingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min

3rd

  • 2:13SJSTimo Meier · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min
  • 8:53NSHFilip Forsberg · Interferencedrawn by Logan Couture2 min
  • 14:46NSHViktor Arvidsson · Slashingdrawn by Aaron Dell2 min
  • 15:21SJSBrent Burns · Ps slash on breakawaydrawn by Colton Sissons0 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalSJS goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Kevin Fiala, 2nd 15:57 — NSH 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.24F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.22M. Ekholm · Goal · xG 0.22S. Hartnell · On goal · xG 0.22R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.20V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.19K. Fiala · Goal · xG 0.19V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.19C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.19C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.17K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.14N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.11K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.11A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.10V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.10S. Hartnell · Goal · xG 0.10C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.08Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.08N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.06K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.06S. Hartnell · Missed · xG 0.06C. Jarnkrok · Goal · xG 0.06A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.06S. Hartnell · Missed · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05R. Johansen · Missed · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01A. Emelin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.00P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH7 G · 4.0 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsNSH
3.11 G
All situations
7 G4.0
1.71 G
Even strength
6 G2.6
1.40 G
Power play
1 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS36%64%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.02 – 3.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsNSH
34
Shots on goal
46
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/5
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
10
Hits
20
12
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
88B. BurnsD000050.14020—23:53
39L. CoutureC101-160.181103321:47
48T. HertlC000-160.611006021:04
61J. BraunD011-220.16100—20:10
44M. VlasicD000-220.10020—19:00
8J. PavelskiC000-230.411005818:10
47J. RyanD000-110.04020—17:34
62K. LabancR011010.06020—16:58
27J. DonskoiR000-220.23000—16:45
4B. DillonD000-200.04202—15:59
28T. MeierR000-100.411025015:34
50C. TierneyC000-300.000003315:23
74D. DeMeloD000-200.06000—14:13
68M. KarlssonC000000.00010013:48
23B. GoodrowC000010.130005012:40
89M. BoedkerL000-310.01210—12:13
16E. FehrC000010.081107012:03
36J. HansenR000-330.4200010009:10
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30A. Dell(L)46397.8484.03-2.9760:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).