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Predators at Sharks
NHL

Nashville Predators at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
San Jose Sharks
▸4
FinalTV NBCSN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Nashville Predators 4-1. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joe Pavelski's goal at 8:17 of the second period, which took the Sharks' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were NSH 20, SJS 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 2.0 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 19 of 20 (.950). Three stars: 1. Joe Pavelski (1 G), 2. Joonas Donskoi (1 G, 1 A), 3. Joe Thornton (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    J. Pavelski1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    J. Donskoi1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Thornton1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH061707120
SJSSJS172818423

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    J. Donskoi(4)
    T. Heed (5), M. Boedker (4)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    15:49

2nd period

  1. SJS
    J. Pavelski(4)
    B. Dillon (4), J. Thornton (7)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    8:17
  2. NSH
    R. Josi(3)
    C. Jarnkrok (2)
    backhandxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    10:04
  3. SJS
    M. Vlasic(1)PPG
    K. Labanc (4), J. Donskoi (3)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    13:50

3rd period

  1. SJS
    M. Boedker(2)
    C. Tierney (3), J. Ryan (1)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    13:43

Penalties

NSH 35 PIM·SJS 27 PIM

1st

  • 4:55NSHAlexei Emelin · Holdingdrawn by Logan Couture2 min
  • 7:15SJSJustin Braun · Trippingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 9:17NSHCraig Smith · Hookingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min

2nd

  • 3:07NSHserved by S. Hartnell · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 12:46NSHFilip Forsberg · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 16:41NSHMiikka Salomaki · Interferencedrawn by Martin Jones2 min

3rd

  • 1:02NSHRyan Johansen · Boardingdrawn by Marc-Edouard Vlasic2 min
  • 1:21SJSBrent Burns · Interferencedrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 4:33SJSTim Heed · Slashingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 9:23NSHRyan Johansen · Fightingdrawn by Joe Pavelski5 min
  • 9:23SJSJoe Pavelski · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Johansen5 min
  • 12:03SJSBrenden Dillon · Roughingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 12:03NSHAustin Watson · Roughingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 12:03NSHAustin Watson · Roughingdrawn by Brenden Dillon2 min
  • 13:26SJSTomas Hertl · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 17:28NSHColton Sissons · Roughingdrawn by Mikkel Boedker2 min
  • 19:17NSHCody McLeod · Slashingdrawn by Joe Thornton2 min
  • 19:17NSHCody McLeod · Misconductdrawn by Joe Thornton10 min
  • 19:17SJSJoe Thornton · Misconductdrawn by Cody McLeod10 min
  • 19:17SJSJoe Thornton · Slashingdrawn by Cody McLeod2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNSH goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Joe Pavelski, 2nd 8:17 — SJS 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.19M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.18J. Donskoi · Goal · xG 0.17M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.16M. Boedker · Goal · xG 0.16T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.16T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.09M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.07J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.06L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.05T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.05L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Vlasic · Goal · xG 0.04M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.02T. Heed · Missed · xG 0.02J. Braun · Missed · xG 0.01T. Heed · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 2.0 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsSJS
1.51 G
All situations
4 G2.0
0.81 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 57 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH39%61%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.46 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsSJS
20
Shots on goal
23
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/4
Power play
1/8
35
Penalty minutes
27
39
Hits
25
8
Blocked shots
26
10
Giveaways
9
13
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
14M. EkholmD000010.02110—27:27
59R. JosiD101+140.13320—27:03
76P. SubbanD000-120.18400—21:21
33V. ArvidssonL000030.25000—20:44
10C. SissonsC000020.134026220:32
9F. ForsbergL000-110.06212—19:01
92R. JohansenC000010.182074618:13
17S. HartnellL000000.00200—15:47
22K. FialaL000000.05100—14:43
25A. EmelinD000-100.00602—14:39
19C. JarnkrokC011000.001004214:22
52M. IrwinD000-110.01300—13:57
94S. GirardD000-200.00120—13:47
51A. WatsonL000020.0431410013:20
15C. SmithC000+110.16102012:39
89F. GaudreauC000-220.271107507:47
20M. SalomakiR000-200.00202—05:17
55C. McLeodL000-100.002012—04:17
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(L)23194.8262.00-2.0060:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).