Ducks at Golden Knights 2-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Anaheim Ducks

▸2

Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, PRIME·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-0. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jakob Silfverberg's goal at 13:32 of the first period, which took the Ducks' chances from 46% to 61%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 2.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were ANA 20, VGK 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. John Gibson stopped 13 of 13 (1.000), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Rickard Rakell (2 A), 2. Jakob Silfverberg (1 G), 3. Tomas Hyka.

Three stars

★
R. Rakell2 A
★★
J. Silfverberg1 G
★★★
T. Hyka

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
ANA	14	08	18	220
VGK	08	05	020	033

Scoring

2 goals

1st period

J. Silfverberg(13)
A. Cogliano (17), R. Rakell (25)
deflectedxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
1-0
13:32

3rd period

J. Manson(4)
R. Getzlaf (29), R. Rakell (26)
deflectedxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
2-0
7:01

Penalties

6 PIM·

2 PIM

2nd

4:05Antoine Vermette · Hookingdrawn by Oscar Lindberg2 min

3rd

6:21Jonathan Marchessault · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Kesler2 min
6:21Ryan Kesler · Cross checkingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
13:59Andrew Cogliano · Slashingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: VGK

Biggest swing: Jakob Silfverberg, 1st 13:32 — ANA 46% → 61%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.1 xG · 48 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 1.7 xG · 33 att VGK

0 G · 2.1 xG · 48 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

1.72 G
All situations: 0 G2.1; 1.42 G
Even strength: 0 G1.3; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

34%66%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.33 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

20
Shots on goal: 33; 50%
Faceoffs: 50%; 0/0
Power play: 0/2; 6
Penalty minutes: 2; 28
Hits: 25; 25
Blocked shots: 8; 4
Giveaways: 13; 3
Takeaways: 7

Box score

every player line

Anaheim Ducks skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
4C. FowlerD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	2	3	0	—	24:25
47H. LindholmD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	6	0	0	—	23:15
26B. MontourD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	4	0	—	22:52
42J. MansonD	1	0	1	+1	1	0.08	3	1	0	—	20:13
15R. GetzlafC	0	1	1	+1	3	0.13	0	4	0	55	19:26
33J. SilfverbergR	1	0	1	+1	2	0.08	1	2	0	—	19:01
3K. BieksaD	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	1	1	0	—	18:22
17R. KeslerC	0	0	0	+1	4	0.39	1	0	2	36	17:57
67R. RakellR	0	2	2	+1	2	0.30	2	1	0	100	17:22
10C. PerryR	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	2	2	0	—	16:29
7A. CoglianoC	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	2	2	2	0	15:57
37N. RitchieL	0	0	0	0	0	0.05	3	0	0	—	13:24
14A. HenriqueC	0	0	0	0	0	0.39	0	2	0	11	12:43
25O. KaseR	0	0	0	0	0	0.04	0	0	0	100	12:07
65M. PetterssonD	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	0	—	10:53
50A. VermetteC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	2	69	10:19
21C. WagnerR	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	3	0	0	—	09:54
38D. GrantC	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	1	1	0	0	09:21

Anaheim Ducks goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
36J. Gibson(W)	13	13	0	1.000	0.55	+0.55	40:00
30R. Miller	20	20	0	1.000	1.55	+1.55	20:00

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

1st period

3rd period

2nd

3rd

Box score