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Golden Knights at Ducks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, PRIME·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-1. The Ducks scored first; the Golden Knights answered. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cody Eakin's goal at 15:12 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 3.5 to 2.9; shots on goal were VGK 28, ANA 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Malcolm Subban stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.9 goals saved above expected; John Gibson stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. William Karlsson (1 G), 2. Rickard Rakell (1 G), 3. Brayden McNabb.

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Rakell1 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    B. McNabb

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK1811426428
ANAANA1150706128

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.18win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    1:40
  2. VGK
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    17:50

2nd period

  1. VGK
    wristxG 0.14win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    15:12

3rd period

  1. VGK
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    0:28
  2. VGK
    E. Haula (12), N. Schmidt (14)
    wristxG 0.53win prob +1 pts
    4-1
    18:47

Penalties

VGK 4 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 11:48VGKJames Neal · Slashingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min

2nd

  • 5:42ANAKevin Bieksa · Interferencedrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 9:55ANAAndrew Cogliano · Hookingdrawn by Jonathan Marchessault2 min
  • 13:03VGKCody Eakin · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Getzlaf2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalVGK goalFinal: ANA 0%

Biggest swing: Cody Eakin, 2nd 15:12 — VGK 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.29J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.21R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.18O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.18A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.15A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.14O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.12A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.10A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.10C. Wagner · Missed · xG 0.10R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.09R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.09R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.09C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.08N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.08R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.08R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.06C. Fowler · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · Missed · xG 0.03L. Shaw · On goal · xG 0.03K. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kase · Missed · xG 0.02A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.02L. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.02K. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Bieksa · Missed · xG 0.01R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.01F. Beauchemin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Vermette · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01K. Roy · Missed · xG 0.00B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.00O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.00K. Bieksa · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA1 G · 2.9 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsANA
3.53 G
All situations
1 G2.9
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK52%48%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.91 – 2.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsANA
28
Shots on goal
28
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
17
10
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3B. McNabbD000010.01860—23:46
88N. SchmidtD011+110.03030—22:53
5D. EngellandD000+200.00210—19:47
6C. MillerD000+130.13220—17:56
27S. TheodoreD101+230.14010—17:45
56E. HaulaL011+110.002306717:42
57D. PerronL101020.722005017:08
71W. KarlssonC101+120.360004016:40
19R. SmithR000+120.24000—16:34
18J. NealL000010.31102—16:29
81J. MarchessaultR011+120.531005615:31
15J. MerrillD000000.01000—15:31
41P. BellemareL011+230.310105713:58
89A. TuchR000020.30110—13:49
21C. EakinC101+120.171023313:10
13B. LeipsicL000010.02000—13:05
92T. NosekL011+110.09000—12:53
24O. LindbergL011+110.101003311:23
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Subban(W)28271.9642.85+1.8560:00

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).