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Devils at Lightning
NHL

New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
New Jersey Devils
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
FinalTV MSG+, SUN·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Devils led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Miles Wood's goal at 1:24 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 72% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were NJD 28, TBL 51. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 82% of the time. Eddie Lack stopped 48 of 51 (.941), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Eddie Lack (48 saves, .941), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 A), 3. Nico Hischier (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    E. Lack48 saves, .941
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 A
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD1921217428
TBLTBL116117118351

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    B. Lovejoy(2)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:59
  2. TBL
    C. Kunitz(9)
    R. Callahan (8)
    slapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    12:41

2nd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(21)PPG
    Y. Gourde (22), M. Sergachev (23)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    2:47
  2. NJD
    N. Hischier(12)
    T. Hall (38), S. Vatanen (16)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    3:13
  3. NJD
    P. Zacha(5)SHG
    S. Vatanen (17), B. Lovejoy (6)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-2
    6:27

3rd period

  1. NJD
    M. Wood(16)
    S. Noesen (12)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    1:24
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(24)PPG
    V. Hedman (34), N. Kucherov (46)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    4-3
    5:15

Penalties

NJD 14 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:46TBLSteven Stamkos · Hookingdrawn by Nick Lappin2 min
  • 14:39NJDBlake Coleman · High stickingdrawn by Cory Conacher2 min

2nd

  • 0:54NJDSami Vatanen · Holdingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 4:54NJDMiles Wood · Boardingdrawn by Vladislav Namestnikov2 min
  • 4:54NJDMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Andrej Sustr2 min
  • 4:54TBLAndrej Sustr · Roughingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 8:33NJDStefan Noesen · High stickingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 14:00TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 16:26TBLYanni Gourde · Hookingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min

3rd

  • 5:03NJDKyle Palmieri · Trippingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 11:56NJDTaylor Hall · Trippingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNJD goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Miles Wood, 3rd 1:24 — NJD 72% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.32B. Point · On goal · xG 0.20B. Point · Goal · xG 0.16A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.15A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.13C. Kunitz · Goal · xG 0.13A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.13B. Point · On goal · xG 0.13B. Point · On goal · xG 0.12M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.11T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.10B. Point · On goal · xG 0.09S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.08R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07B. Point · Missed · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.06T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.06R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.06A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.06C. Conacher · Missed · xG 0.05C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.05C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.05V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.05B. Point · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02A. Sustr · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.00V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.00D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 3.8 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsTBL
1.74 G
All situations
3 G3.8
1.53 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD18%82%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 3.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsTBL
28
Shots on goal
51
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/3
Power play
2/6
14
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
19
16
Blocked shots
3
5
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45S. VatanenD022+100.00202—25:25
6A. GreeneD000-100.00040—23:05
9T. HallL011+210.15012—20:05
19T. ZajacC000030.201307020:00
13N. HischierC101+210.120006119:21
2J. MooreD000+100.00030—19:13
28D. SeversonD000+120.04110—18:49
21K. PalmieriC000+120.17102016:37
63J. BrattL000+100.00200—16:35
12B. LovejoyD112+220.01200—16:23
37P. ZachaC101+130.121203116:19
40B. ColemanL000+120.031024015:16
8W. ButcherD000+220.10010—13:49
23S. NoesenR011030.13312—13:47
44M. WoodL101060.40004—10:35
18D. StaffordR000010.23100—09:07
10J. HayesR000000.00100—08:01
36N. LappinR000000.00000—07:28
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31E. Lack(W)51483.9413.77+0.7760:00

Season series

NJD leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).