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Edmonton Oilers at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A, SNW·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Edmonton Oilers 1-0. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Christian Dvorak's goal at 3:26 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.8, ARI 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 40, ARI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Antti Raanta stopped 40 of 40 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Antti Raanta (40 saves, 1.000), 2. Christian Dvorak (1 G), 3. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    A. Raanta40 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Dvorak1 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM08018014040
ARIARI17012013132

Scoring

1 goal

1st period

  1. ARI
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:26

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

1st

  • 17:19EDMAdam Larsson · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

2nd

  • 3:21EDMAdam Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min
  • 15:22ARIBrendan Perlini · Hookingdrawn by Anton Slepyshev2 min
  • 17:30EDMMilan Lucic · Interferencedrawn by Jason Demers2 min

3rd

  • 0:34ARIJordan Martinook · Slashingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min
  • 16:21EDMJesse Puljujarvi · Holdingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalEDM goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Christian Dvorak, 1st 3:26 — ARI 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.21J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.19R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.15C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.14M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.13N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.12T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.12B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.11O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.11C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.08B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.08O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.06O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.06R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.05B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Perlini · Missed · xG 0.05J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.05N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.04T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.04R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.04O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hjalmarsson · Missed · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.02B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01J. Demers · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 2.6 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsARI
2.80 G
All situations
1 G2.6
2.20 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
0.70 G
Power play
0 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM53%47%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.75 – 2.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsARI
40
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
16
20
Blocked shots
12
9
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD000030.16200—24:04
77O. KlefbomD000040.04110—22:37
4K. RussellD000010.03120—21:19
97C. McDavidC000-120.250102919:09
29L. DraisaitlC000-100.030107519:01
6A. LarssonD000030.08264—18:56
19P. MaroonL000-120.21000—17:32
58A. SlepyshevL000040.67000—15:42
13M. CammalleriL000020.140106715:21
88B. DavidsonD000-130.05440—15:09
18R. StromeC000040.370105014:59
91D. CaggiulaL000030.28100—14:55
55M. LetestuC000010.020005813:23
44Z. KassianR000030.14500—13:19
16J. KhairaL000010.151102912:53
27M. LucicL000020.1070210012:45
81Y. AuvituD000-100.00020—12:35
98J. PuljujarviR000020.12102—09:45
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)32311.9692.60+1.6058:36

Season series

EDM leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).