Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2 in overtime, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins scoring at 4:20. The Coyotes scored first; the Oilers answered. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's goal at 4:20 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 4.4 to 3.0; shots on goal were ARI 31, EDM 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 24 of 27 (.889); Cam Talbot stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 2.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Talbot (29 saves, .935), 2. Scott Wedgewood (24 saves, .889), 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. Talbot29 saves, .935

- ★★S. Wedgewood24 saves, .889

- ★★★R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-06:22
1-116:30
2nd period
2-119:11
3rd period
2-214:25
Overtime
2-34:20
Penalties
1st
- 14:11
Clayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Adam Larsson2 min
- 18:19
Matt Benning · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
2nd
- 8:00
Nick Cousins · Holdingdrawn by Yohann Auvitu2 min
- 8:00
Yohann Auvitu · Holdingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
- 14:47
Jordan Martinook · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
- 18:23
Ryan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Luke Schenn2 min
3rd
- 4:55
Brendan Perlini · High stickingdrawn by Oscar Klefbom2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, OT 4:20 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.42 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.0
- 4.21 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.6
- 0.21 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.09 – 3.00
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 31
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 52%
- Faceoffs
- 48%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 15
- Hits
- 24
- 25
- Blocked shots
- 20
- 8
- Giveaways
- 18
- 9
- Takeaways
- 11
Box score
every player line
Season series
EDM leads 3-1
2@
3OTthis game
4@
2Final
0@
1Final
3@
4OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
