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Capitals at Wild
NHL

Washington Capitals at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸5
Minnesota Wild
2
FinalTV FS-N, NBCSWA·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Minnesota Wild 5-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 5:51 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.4, MIN 2.5; shots on goal were WSH 27, MIN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 32 of 34 (.941); Devan Dubnyk stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Philipp Grubauer (32 saves, .941), 2. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 3 A), 3. Tom Wilson (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    P. Grubauer32 saves, .941
  2. ★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0629312527
MINMIN0808218234

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(8)
    A. Ovechkin (29), D. Orlov (13)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:59
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(34)
    A. Burakovsky (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:51

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Burakovsky(6)
    B. Connolly (5), P. Grubauer (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +7 pts
    3-0
    2:29
  2. MIN
    N. Niederreiter(15)
    M. Koivu (22), G. Olofsson (6)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +6 pts
    3-1
    4:25
  3. WSH
    N. Backstrom(15)
    A. Ovechkin (30), T. Wilson (17)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +2 pts
    4-1
    15:06
  4. MIN
    E. Staal(26)PPG
    M. Granlund (29), R. Suter (30)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    4-2
    16:48
  5. WSH
    T. Wilson(9)EN
    N. Backstrom (30), A. Ovechkin (31)
    wristxG 0.51win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    17:46

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·MIN 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:23MINNino Niederreiter · Hookingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min

2nd

  • 10:14WSHDevante Smith-Pelly · Holdingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
  • 11:29MINEric Staal · Trippingdrawn by John Carlson2 min

3rd

  • 7:15WSHTom Wilson · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 11:26WSHLars Eller · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:34WSHBrooks Orpik · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Ennis2 min
  • 19:19WSHTaylor Chorney · High stickingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalWSH goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, 2nd 5:51 — WSH 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.20J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.19N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.17Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.15M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.14M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.13M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.10G. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.10J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.09J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.09T. Ennis · Missed · xG 0.08N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.05T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.05J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.05M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.04T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02T. Ennis · On goal · xG 0.02M. Cullen · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.01N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.00J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.00J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.00M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.00D. Winnik · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN2 G · 2.5 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsMIN
2.44 G
All situations
2 G2.5
1.54 G
Even strength
1 G2.0
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH39%61%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.84 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsMIN
27
Shots on goal
34
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
12
Hits
8
12
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000+300.00020—23:09
2M. NiskanenD000+110.05310—21:43
9D. OrlovD011+120.01120—21:12
44B. OrpikD000+100.00002—19:26
77T. OshieR000-120.18200—18:22
19N. BackstromC112+220.300003318:00
8A. OvechkinL134+470.54000—17:48
92E. KuznetsovC000020.200103817:37
29C. DjoosD000+220.01010—17:19
43T. WilsonR213+330.5922210016:34
20L. EllerC000+220.221025014:39
4T. ChorneyD000000.00102—13:51
18C. StephensonC000010.04200013:26
13J. VranaL000-110.07020—13:03
83J. BeagleC000000.000006312:32
25D. Smith-PellyR000000.07012—12:28
65A. BurakovskyL112+210.02000—11:31
10B. ConnollyR011+110.0700010010:25
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)34322.9412.46+0.4660:00

Season series

WSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).