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Wild at Capitals
NHL

Minnesota Wild at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
1
Washington Capitals
▸3
FinalTV FS-N, NBCSWA·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Minnesota Wild 3-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dmitry Orlov's goal at 12:46 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 54% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.6 to 2.3; shots on goal were MIN 31, WSH 43. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 40 of 43 (.930); Braden Holtby stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. T.J. Oshie (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dmitry Orlov (1 G), 3. Braden Holtby (30 saves, .968).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Oshie1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    D. Orlov1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    B. Holtby30 saves, .968

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN11209010131
WSHWSH21308122343

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(10)PPG
    E. Kuznetsov (18), N. Backstrom (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    9:42
  2. MIN
    N. Niederreiter(5)PPG
    M. Granlund (8), M. Koivu (6)
    wristxG 0.35win prob +13 pts
    1-1
    12:02
  3. WSH
    D. Orlov(2)
    M. Niskanen (2), T. Oshie (7)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    12:46

3rd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(5)PPG
    A. Ovechkin (7), J. Carlson (15)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    17:23

Penalties

MIN 10 PIM·WSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 8:40MINKyle Quincey · Boardingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 10:30WSHJay Beagle · Hookingdrawn by Chris Stewart2 min
  • 18:26WSHLars Eller · Trippingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min

2nd

  • 3:14MINJason Zucker · High stickingdrawn by Nicklas Backstrom2 min
  • 10:05WSHT.J. Oshie · Slashingdrawn by Marcus Foligno2 min
  • 14:32WSHMadison Bowey · Cross checkingdrawn by Matt Cullen2 min
  • 19:59MINChris Stewart · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min

3rd

  • 15:11MINMike Reilly · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Chandler Stephenson0 min
  • 16:47MINRyan Suter · High stickingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min
  • 16:47MINRyan Suter · High stickingdrawn by Lars Eller2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalMIN goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Dmitry Orlov, 1st 12:46 — WSH 54% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.27E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.16C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.14J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.14B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.13T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.12N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.12T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.12T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.10N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.08B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.08T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07J. Beagle · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.06N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.04N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.04D. Smith-Pelly · On goal · xG 0.04M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Chorney · On goal · xG 0.03M. Bowey · On goal · xG 0.03J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.03L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.01L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · Missed · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.00M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.00E. Kuznetsov · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsWSH
2.31 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.40 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.91 G
Power play
2 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN45%55%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsWSH
31
Shots on goal
43
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
8
16
Hits
29
13
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
23
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000-150.08014—26:36
46J. SpurgeonD000-120.05120—25:06
24M. DumbaD000000.0000010023:03
25J. BrodinD000000.00130—20:51
64M. GranlundC011020.2010010020:12
9M. KoivuC011040.410006819:58
12E. StaalC000050.142003718:49
16J. ZuckerL000020.07212—17:16
22N. NiederreiterR101020.52100—15:30
19L. KuninC000030.223002014:11
26D. WinnikL000010.04010—13:30
14J. Eriksson EkC000010.01110013:21
27K. QuinceyD000020.16112—12:37
4M. ReillyD000000.04110—12:24
63T. EnnisR000-100.08020—11:52
17M. FolignoL000020.1720010011:43
10C. StewartR000-100.07002—08:33
7M. CullenC000-100.000005708:27
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(L)43403.9302.55-0.4558:23

Season series

WSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).