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Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV NESN, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 8:41 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were BOS 44, OTT 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.5 goals below expected; Mike Condon stopped 41 of 44 (.932). Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (2 A), 2. Dion Phaneuf (2 A), 3. Mike Condon (41 saves, .932).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron2 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    D. Phaneuf2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    M. Condon41 saves, .932

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS020110214344
OTTOTT170917223

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    12:00

2nd period

  1. BOS
    D. Heinen(11)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    11:35

3rd period

  1. BOS
    snapxG 0.20win prob +26 pts
    2-1
    1:58
  2. OTT
    R. Dzingel(14)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    2:18
  3. BOS
    snapxG 0.02win prob +31 pts
    3-2
    8:41

Penalties

BOS 8 PIM·OTT 2 PIM

1st

  • 9:43BOSFrank Vatrano · Slashingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
  • 16:46BOSAnders Bjork · High stickingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min

2nd

  • 11:19OTTErik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Anders Bjork2 min

3rd

  • 1:37BOSFrank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 15:25BOSDavid Krejci · Slashingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalBOS goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 3rd 8:41 — BOS 48% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.21R. Dzingel · Goal · xG 0.17G. Dumont · On goal · xG 0.10C. DiDomenico · Missed · xG 0.09D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.08D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.08C. White · Missed · xG 0.07M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.07R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.06R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.05C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.05B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.05D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.05A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04C. White · Missed · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02C. DiDomenico · On goal · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.01B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.00G. Dumont · On goal · xG 0.00B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 1.5 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsOTT
2.63 G
All situations
2 G1.5
2.31 G
Even strength
1 G0.7
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS71%29%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 1.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsOTT
44
Shots on goal
23
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
25
Hits
38
13
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
9
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33Z. CharaD000+140.16320—22:48
86K. MillerD011020.02320—21:43
25B. CarloD000+130.01030—21:34
47T. KrugD000030.07100—19:32
54A. McQuaidD000-110.10320—19:31
37P. BergeronC022+140.082004217:43
46D. KrejciC000020.071023617:01
20R. NashC000020.140105616:13
42D. BackesR000040.06100—15:49
43D. HeinenL101040.2310010015:27
74J. DeBruskL101040.23100—15:27
88D. PastrnakR011040.61110—15:06
48M. GrzelcykD000+110.02110—14:36
51R. SpoonerC011010.013105014:12
10A. BjorkL000020.0800210013:58
59T. SchallerL101+110.2000010013:38
52S. KuralyC000010.401006011:56
72F. VatranoR000010.11304—07:10
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(W)23212.9131.49-0.5159:55

Season series

BOS leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).