Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jake DeBrusk's goal at 8:41 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.6 to 1.5; shots on goal were BOS 44, OTT 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.5 goals below expected; Mike Condon stopped 41 of 44 (.932). Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (2 A), 2. Dion Phaneuf (2 A), 3. Mike Condon (41 saves, .932).
Three stars
- ★P. Bergeron2 A

- ★★D. Phaneuf2 A

- ★★★M. Condon41 saves, .932

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-112:00
2nd period
1-111:35
3rd period
2-11:58
2-22:18
3-28:41
Penalties
1st
- 9:43
Frank Vatrano · Slashingdrawn by Derick Brassard2 min
- 16:46
Anders Bjork · High stickingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
2nd
- 11:19
Erik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Anders Bjork2 min
3rd
- 1:37
Frank Vatrano · Trippingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
- 15:25
David Krejci · Slashingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jake DeBrusk, 3rd 8:41 — 48% → 79%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.63 G
- All situations
- 2 G1.5
- 2.31 G
- Even strength
- 1 G0.7
- 0.11 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.7
- 0.21 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 1.45
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 44
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 25
- Hits
- 38
- 13
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 13
- Giveaways
- 9
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
