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Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, TVAS·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Ottawa Senators 5-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Danton Heinen's goal at 8:28 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 2.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were OTT 26, BOS 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 3.0 goals below expected; Tuukka Rask stopped 25 of 26 (.962), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Riley Nash (2 G, 1 A), 2. Kevan Miller (1 G), 3. Tuukka Rask (25 saves, .962).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    R. Nash2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    BOS
    K. Miller1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    T. Rask25 saves, .962

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0611109126
BOSBOS272917523

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    D. Backes (6), R. Nash (11)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:22
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    8:28

2nd period

  1. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    1:25
  2. OTT
    slapxG 0.03win prob +9 pts
    1-3
    3:49
  3. BOS
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    14:43

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.14
    1-5
    18:40

Penalties

OTT 27 PIM·BOS 19 PIM

1st

  • 9:39OTTMatt Duchene · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Spooner2 min
  • 15:01OTTFredrik Claesson · Match penatly 10 minutesdrawn by Noel Acciari10 min
  • 15:01BOSTim Schaller · Fightingdrawn by Fredrik Claesson5 min
  • 15:01OTTFredrik Claesson · Fightingdrawn by Tim Schaller5 min
  • 15:01BOSTim Schaller · Misconductdrawn by Fredrik Claesson10 min
  • 15:01OTTFredrik Claesson · Game misconductdrawn by Noel Acciari10 min
  • 15:01BOSTim Schaller · Instigatordrawn by Fredrik Claesson2 min

2nd

  • 15:43BOSPatrice Bergeron · Hookingdrawn by Johnny Oduya2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalOTT goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Danton Heinen, 1st 8:28 — BOS 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.18R. Nash · Goal · xG 0.17D. Backes · Goal · xG 0.14B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.13K. Miller · Goal · xG 0.11R. Spooner · Missed · xG 0.11S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.11D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.10D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.08D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.08N. Acciari · On goal · xG 0.08R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.08C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.07P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.06P. Bergeron · On goal · xG 0.06D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.06R. Nash · Goal · xG 0.05R. Spooner · Missed · xG 0.04D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.04D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.04M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.01R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.00D. Backes · On goal · xG 0.00S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS5 G · 2.0 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsBOS
1.71 G
All situations
5 G2.0
1.61 G
Even strength
5 G1.8
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT44%56%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsBOS
26
Shots on goal
23
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
0/2
27
Penalty minutes
19
18
Hits
14
13
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
4
18
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-320.10030—26:32
5C. CeciD000-210.04130—26:01
61M. StoneR011+100.062005021:32
72T. ChabotD101+120.06010—21:17
29J. OduyaD000-100.00110—20:54
2D. PhaneufD000-230.07010—19:55
9B. RyanR000-110.07000—17:23
95M. DucheneC000-210.072026417:15
19D. BrassardC011-120.110006216:25
44J. PageauC000-110.111205015:38
10T. PyattL000020.18120—15:04
18R. DzingelC000-210.07000014:20
17N. ThompsonC000-110.004006713:20
68M. HoffmanC000-110.16000012:13
14A. BurrowsR000-230.34100—10:46
78F. ChlapikC000030.172003310:46
13N. PaulL000-220.02000—09:35
33F. ClaessonD000-100.003025—04:04
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)23185.7831.95-3.0560:00

Season series

BOS leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).