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Stars at Sabres
NHL

Dallas Stars at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸7
Buffalo Sabres
1
FinalTV FS-SW, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Buffalo Sabres 7-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mattias Janmark's goal at 14:09 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 61% to 76%. Expected goals were close — DAL 1.5, BUF 1.7; shots on goal were DAL 32, BUF 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Kari Lehtonen stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Chad Johnson stopped 10 of 13 (.769), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mattias Janmark (2 G, 1 A), 2. Esa Lindell (1 G, 2 A), 3. John Klingberg (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    M. Janmark2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    E. Lindell1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Klingberg3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL21341217732
BUFBUF01011007127

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Elie(5)
    M. Janmark (14), J. Spezza (12)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    5:03
  2. DAL
    M. Janmark(11)PPG
    E. Lindell (14), D. Shore (14)
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    14:09

2nd period

  1. DAL
    M. Janmark(12)
    J. Klingberg (38), J. Spezza (13)
    snapxG 0.02win prob +11 pts
    3-0
    6:25
  2. BUF
    S. Reinhart(8)PPG
    J. Eichel (26), R. Ristolainen (15)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    3-1
    8:54
  3. DAL
    J. Benn(19)
    J. Klingberg (39), E. Lindell (15)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +10 pts
    4-1
    9:32
  4. DAL
    E. Lindell(5)
    A. Radulov (26), J. Benn (27)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +4 pts
    5-1
    12:08
  5. DAL
    R. Faksa(12)
    S. Johns (5), A. Roussel (8)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    6-1
    17:31

3rd period

  1. DAL
    T. Pitlick(8)
    J. Klingberg (40), R. Faksa (11)
    tip-inxG 0.06
    7-1
    7:24

Penalties

DAL 15 PIM·BUF 11 PIM

1st

  • 12:19BUFBenoit Pouliot · Slashingdrawn by John Klingberg2 min
  • 17:44DALAntoine Roussel · Trippingdrawn by Marco Scandella2 min

2nd

  • 0:26DALAlexander Radulov · Trippingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 6:57DALDevin Shore · Trippingdrawn by Casey Nelson2 min
  • 12:40BUFJordan Nolan · Fightingdrawn by Dillon Heatherington5 min
  • 12:40BUFJordan Nolan · Roughingdrawn by Dillon Heatherington2 min
  • 12:40DALDillon Heatherington · Fightingdrawn by Jordan Nolan5 min
  • 12:40DALDillon Heatherington · Cross checkingdrawn by Jordan Nolan2 min
  • 14:52BUFJosh Gorges · Interferencedrawn by Devin Shore2 min

3rd

  • 4:19DALDillon Heatherington · Roughingdrawn by Justin Falk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalDAL goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Mattias Janmark, 1st 14:09 — DAL 61% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.19Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.11R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.08S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.07K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.07S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.07K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.05E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.04K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.03R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.03K. Okposo · Missed · xG 0.03J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.02C. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01J. Falk · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01J. Falk · Missed · xG 0.01S. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pominville · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF1 G · 1.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsBUF
1.57 G
All situations
1 G1.7
1.36 G
Even strength
0 G0.8
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL46%54%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.47 – 1.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsBUF
32
Shots on goal
27
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/2
Power play
1/4
15
Penalty minutes
11
14
Hits
12
10
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
4
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29G. PaterynD000010.03110—21:26
2D. HamhuisD000+130.07110—21:10
3J. KlingbergD033+410.01110—20:39
91T. SeguinC000+200.000006719:55
23E. LindellD123+430.05000—19:27
28S. JohnsD011+110.03120—18:29
14J. BennL112+230.161103818:11
47A. RadulovR011+220.26002—17:59
48D. HeatheringtonD000+220.03209—16:28
18T. PitlickC101+220.09310015:16
90J. SpezzaC022+210.130004514:54
13M. JanmarkC213+230.23000014:42
12R. FaksaC112+230.080105014:14
17D. ShoreC011010.01022014:14
21A. RousselL011+200.00002—13:10
40R. ElieL101+220.27100—12:57
25B. RitchieR000030.03300—10:20
10M. HanzalC000010.020005708:32
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lehtonen(W)27261.9631.66+0.6660:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).