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Sabres at Stars
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
1
Dallas Stars
▸5
FinalTV FS-SW+, MSG-B·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Radek Faksa's goal at 7:07 of the first period, which took the Stars' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.3 to 1.4; shots on goal were BUF 28, DAL 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Chad Johnson stopped 13 of 15 (.867), 1.0 goals below expected; Kari Lehtonen stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Gemel Smith (2 A), 2. Stephen Johns (1 G), 3. Radek Faksa (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    G. Smith2 A
  2. ★★
    DAL
    S. Johns1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    R. Faksa1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF0811109128
DALDAL491409522

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    R. Elie(1)
    A. Roussel (2)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:09
  2. DAL
    R. Faksa(3)
    G. Smith (1), J. Klingberg (9)
    tip-inxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    7:07
  3. DAL
    S. Johns(2)
    G. Smith (2), R. Faksa (4)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    0-3
    10:27
  4. DAL
    T. Seguin(8)PPG
    J. Klingberg (10), A. Radulov (7)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +4 pts
    0-4
    12:51

2nd period

  1. BUF
    R. O'Reilly(5)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +3 pts
    1-4
    11:51
  2. DAL
    A. Roussel(1)
    J. Klingberg (11), T. Seguin (7)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +2 pts
    1-5
    18:50

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·DAL 10 PIM

1st

  • 12:12BUFMatt Tennyson · Slashingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min

2nd

  • 1:41DALMarc Methot · Holdingdrawn by Zemgus Girgensons2 min
  • 12:16DALAntoine Roussel · Holdingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 13:19BUFKyle Okposo · Roughingdrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
  • 13:19DALRadek Faksa · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 19:50DALTyler Seguin · Boardingdrawn by Justin Falk2 min

3rd

  • 1:58DALAntoine Roussel · Trippingdrawn by Seth Griffith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalBUF goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Radek Faksa, 1st 7:07 — DAL 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.18T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.15M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.11S. Johns · Goal · xG 0.10T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.07T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.07T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.06G. Pateryn · Missed · xG 0.06A. Roussel · Goal · xG 0.06A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.05J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.04S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.04R. Elie · Goal · xG 0.03J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.03D. Hamhuis · Missed · xG 0.02M. Methot · On goal · xG 0.02S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.02S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.02R. Faksa · Goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · Missed · xG 0.02S. Johns · Missed · xG 0.02D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.02J. Spezza · On goal · xG 0.02R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.02J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Roussel · On goal · xG 0.01G. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.01G. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01S. Johns · On goal · xG 0.00A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 1.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsDAL
2.31 G
All situations
5 G1.4
1.41 G
Even strength
4 G1.2
0.90 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF68%32%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 1.41

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsDAL
28
Shots on goal
22
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
14
18
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6M. ScandellaD000+130.14030—23:15
5M. TennysonD000-330.08022—20:25
15J. EichelC000070.690003820:11
93V. AntipinD000-100.02010—19:28
41J. FalkD000+100.00440—19:11
19J. McCabeD000-310.02300—18:26
90R. O'ReillyC101-220.190005518:17
9E. KaneL000030.094005017:34
23S. ReinhartC000000.090005716:59
21K. OkposoR000-230.26212—16:53
67B. PouliotL000-210.11100—16:17
29J. PominvilleR000010.1502010015:35
27T. FedunD000-100.00030—15:14
25S. GriffithC000010.07100014:40
28Z. GirgensonsC000020.29410013:54
22J. LarssonL000-110.0220010013:20
26M. MoulsonL000-100.08110—10:22
17J. NolanC000-100.01100009:20
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Johnson15132.8671.02-0.9849:33
40R. Lehner(L)743.5710.39-2.6110:27

Season series

DAL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).