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Boston Bruins at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+ 2, NESN·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the New York Islanders 5-2. The Islanders scored first; the Bruins answered. The Bruins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Spooner's goal at 9:47 of the second period, which took the Bruins' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 4.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were BOS 34, NYI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 22 of 24 (.917); Jaroslav Halak stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrice Bergeron (3 G), 2. Brad Marchand (1 G, 2 A), 3. Jordan Eberle (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    P. Bergeron3 G
  2. ★★
    BOS
    B. Marchand1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    J. Eberle1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS17211216534
NYINYI1100915224

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:35
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    13:41

2nd period

  1. BOS
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    9:47
  2. BOS
    T. Krug (18), R. Spooner (10)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    13:49

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    4-1
    3:45
  2. NYI
    wristxG 0.02win prob +2 pts
    4-2
    14:24
  3. BOS
    D. Krejci (15), R. Nash (15)
    wristxG 0.94win prob +1 pts
    5-2
    18:59

Penalties

BOS 4 PIM·NYI 2 PIM

2nd

  • 13:34NYIAnders Lee · Trippingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
  • 20:00BOSBrandon Carlo · Trippingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

3rd

  • 4:53BOSRiley Nash · Hookingdrawn by Nick Leddy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalBOS goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Spooner, 2nd 9:47 — BOS 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.17B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Eberle · Goal · xG 0.12A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.11A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.11M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.07J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.06M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.06S. Prince · On goal · xG 0.06M. Dal Colle · On goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.04N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chimera · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.03S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · Goal · xG 0.02T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.01
NYI2 G · 1.9 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsNYI
4.04 G
All situations
2 G1.9
2.73 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS70%30%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.06 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsNYI
34
Shots on goal
24
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
26
Hits
19
15
Blocked shots
11
14
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33Z. CharaD000+210.05340—25:32
73C. McAvoyD011+210.13220—22:57
54A. McQuaidD000030.07200—20:07
47T. KrugD011-130.12200—17:21
48M. GrzelcykD000+120.08010—17:07
25B. CarloD000030.07012—16:48
63B. MarchandL123+231.11200—16:23
42D. BackesR000-120.23100—16:01
37P. BergeronC303+140.580106715:39
20R. NashC011+100.111225515:37
46D. KrejciC022+240.390001715:20
52S. KuralyC000-120.173005015:16
43D. HeinenL000020.16100—15:14
59T. SchallerL000-130.23340—14:16
88D. PastrnakR011+100.03100—14:09
74J. DeBruskL000+100.17000—12:50
51R. SpoonerC112+110.10200012:47
55N. AcciariC000000.2230010012:37
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Khudobin(W)24222.9171.90-0.1059:59

Season series

BOS leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).